TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf66c…4ab1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Movies at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST440%0 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.91
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.68
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.69
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 2.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.63
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.14
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
Will Chase Infiniti be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.89
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.89
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hidebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3116.1%5 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+886.7%+$223.48
Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.48
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+1,010.7%+$469.28
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$57.58
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55.76
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be at least 53%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13.47
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.26
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22.39
Will Samia Suluhu Hassan win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.12
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.72
Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.35
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21.25
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+140.3%+$15.61
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.42
Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$5
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.49
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.47
Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.25
Will FrP win the second most seats in the Norway election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will PPP/C win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.32
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.95
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-79.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.85
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.54
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+167.6%+$25.25
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.21
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.86
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.91
Will Justin Bibb win the 2025 Cleveland mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.43
Will Michelle Wu win the 2025 Boston mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.36
Will Vi Lyles win the 2025 Charlotte mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.19
Will Corey O'Connor win the 2025 Pittsburgh mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.93
Will Helena Moreno win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.27
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.05
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.49
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.85
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.09
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.