World Politics · resolved market
Will PPP/C win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd461825eeaaa43aaa6d335bc570e79bef69d3cc698a3c4a6861bcd441035bf56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 3c | 6,069$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 8c | 5,867$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.83 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 3c | 4,500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7be7backed No | 9c | 3,362$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.21 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3d…1fc6backed No | 8c | 2,690$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.81 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…63edbacked No | 3c | 1,392$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed No | 6c | 1,279$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 77c | 1,176$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3,440.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 8c | 1,099$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 5c | 1,067$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 9c | 1,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 6c | 923.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 8c | 650$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 13c | 499.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 21c | 481.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 15c | 420$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…aa7abacked No | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 23c | 387.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4677…c4d4backed No | 3c | 356$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…c246backed No | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…23c1backed No | 5c | 283.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 7c | 249.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 11c | 231.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 12c | 227.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked No | 15c | 217$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 10c | 201.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3db…1959backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 14c | 179.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed No | 8c | 135.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 16c | 130.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 10c | 102.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…6182backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PPP/C win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?this page
- Will APNU win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?No won
- Will WIN win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.