Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5ae4bf6d60c6d1bc10d78e9895adc47d966e3d82923ae40f4aff7412d803287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 25c | 21,869$5,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,407.49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 57c | 13,744$7,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,859.55 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 47c | 11,730$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,534.74 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 12c | 10,748$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.04 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 6c | 7,866$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.78 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 18c | 6,513$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.97 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 12c | 4,263$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.6 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 75c | 3,941$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.57 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 52c | 3,864$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.22 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…5e7cbacked Yes | 14c | 3,295$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9368backed Yes | 51c | 2,174$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,129$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 56c | 1,821$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.93 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 36c | 1,798$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.39 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…b91fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,754$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…bff9backed Yes | 7c | 1,470$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 68c | 1,304$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.42 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,270$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.67 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 71c | 1,102$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 10c | 1,053$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 45c | 1,032$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.19 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…4fe9backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…b70dbacked Yes | 9c | 861.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked Yes | 5c | 837.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -79%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 75c | 670$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 6c | 621.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…ed1abacked Yes | 72c | 600$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 77c | 597.4$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 16c | 539.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 58c | 496.26$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 54c | 482.52$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.93 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 48c | 462$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 4c | 416$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 20c | 414.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes | 16c | 399.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 4c | 392$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…c102backed No | 47c | 318.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 27c | 287.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.41 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…d84cbacked Yes | 20c | 279.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 26c | 263$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 247.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 69c | 237$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 51c | 219.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 29c | 211.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 75c | 207.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 71c | 202$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…a56fbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 55c | 186.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…a86cbacked Yes | 76c | 172.66$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked Yes | 23c | 169.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 26c | 161.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…c855backed Yes | 71c | 141.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…3cfebacked Yes | 75c | 131.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…e4ffbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…6a46backed Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…ae19backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…76e5backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 19c | 124.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…9d8dbacked Yes | 74c | 121$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…d92abacked Yes | 15c | 114.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 46c | 111.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 27c | 108.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 45c | 106.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 32c | 105.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed Yes | 76c | 103.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…ed86backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5355…fae9backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +230.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5effbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 71c | 96.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…ddd4backed Yes | 76c | 93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa979…21cfbacked No | 28c | 93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 25c | 81.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 53c | 80.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 67.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…cdc6backed Yes | 35c | 56.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 18c | 55.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…6dadbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ae5fbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…7413backed Yes | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 24c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…fd27backed Yes | 71c | 44.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c3…9bb4backed Yes | 75c | 43.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 37c | 40.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…ff99backed No | 35c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…dc90backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…330ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d08…d21bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…61c6backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…54e1backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?this page
- Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?No won
- Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Joyce Watterman win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?No won
- Will Mussab Ali win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.