Us Midterms · resolved market
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4622bcb73c3ec49aa072a312bd25d48f1c1989dadcd6982d7550814bcd97f431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 2c | 7,073$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes | 15c | 6,402$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.06 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 15c | 6,190$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.58 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed No | 10c | 5,009$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.41 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 13c | 3,008$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.06 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…e71dbacked No | 3c | 3,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 10c | 2,798$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.54 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 69c | 2,555$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.25 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x925b…640ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,968$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…fabfbacked Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 1c | 1,324$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,114$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.98 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 8c | 1,039$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 15c | 992.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 20c | 863.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…5e16backed Yes | 74c | 817.7$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 18c | 751.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 19c | 671.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…74b1backed Yes | 23c | 638.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Yes | 20c | 506.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 15c | 383.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 48c | 329.68$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.17 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 7c | 183.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 6c | 173.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…e4ffbacked Yes | 19c | 167.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked No | 13c | 161.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -79%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 80c | 156.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 156.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 9c | 154.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked No | 14c | 141.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 20c | 109.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 16c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…dbf6backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…6566backed Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…cf95backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…e45bbacked Yes | 78c | 56.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 79c | 55.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…da8abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…f107backed Yes | 77c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3658backed Yes | 78c | 16.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?this page
- Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?No won
- Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?No won
- Will Joyce Watterman win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?No won
- Will Mussab Ali win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.