TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd992…96c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.99
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.87
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.57
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$52.38
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+82.6%+$31.25
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+69.1%+$86.68
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+48.9%+$11.5
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$313.67
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+41.7%+$25.24
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+27.4%+$6.45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+72.6%+$753.93
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+58.4%+$493.22
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.8%+$760.84
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.5%+$57.51
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$121.95
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$102.17
Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.6
Harmonix FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$29.04
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.4%+$32.52
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$38.91
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25.6%+$10.2
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.6%+$116.77
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.86
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.2
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.9%+$66.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+218.5%+$50.25
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$18.7
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+149.3%+$210.98
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+83.8%+$359.76
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$67.15
Will XRP dip to $2.00 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$343.14
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$179.48
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$122.55
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+65.5%+$55.4
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+36.5%+$5.35
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+48.1%+$13
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Will Ethereum dip to $3,100 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+29.2%+$17.61
Will Solana reach $140 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+36.1%+$22.55
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64.3%+$13.7
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.7%+$82.57
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.7%+$4.44
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$766.71
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+339%+$260.63
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+176.8%+$106.88
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+141%+$147.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+120.5%+$95.65
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+101.8%+$11.08
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.6%+$120.45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+114.1%+$184.77
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.05
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.7%+$21.1
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.03
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.4%+$111.1
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$207.54
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+90%+$37.43
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+194.1%+$61.38
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$39.51
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$27.93
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.59
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+237%+$26.02
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+231.1%+$24.56
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.79
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.6
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61%+$15.15
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$154.99
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.6%+$16.7
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$43.91
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+68.4%+$12.18
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.48
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40.79
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.88
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.58
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$31.92
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.43
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.5%+$6.45
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$90.7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.28
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44.72
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+211.8%+$246.22
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$79.96
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.9%+$64.1
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30.91
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+244.8%+$68.86
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.89
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.86
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.8
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.72
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$49.45
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+76.2%+$8.39
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$31.28
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+220.2%+$225.21
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$105.43
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$308.74
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$88.3
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$199.04
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$110.41
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.75
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+111.8%+$93.44
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+172.9%+$132.4
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+131.1%+$16.45
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.55
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.8%+$72.2
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+67.3%+$161.23
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+90.4%+$352.81
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.87
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54.2
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+34%+$12.7
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31%+$3.55
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$117.06
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 109m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+32.7%+$4.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.24
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.4%+$14.75
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.32
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.1%+$271.25
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$113.35
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43.7
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.1%+$33.14
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.29
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$54.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.09
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+354.6%+$793.7
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.38
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+189.5%+$36
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$32.65
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+94.4%+$14.58
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.1%+$3.1
Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$45.7
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Piedmont Lions vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneersbacked Piedmont Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.78
Rhode Island Rams vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack (W)backed Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+651.6%+$227.13
Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-10.5)backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26.88
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Wyoming Cowboysbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$45.22
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.54
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.42
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. South Dakota Coyotesbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23.24
Coppin State Eagles vs. Central Michigan Chippewasbacked Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-80.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+87%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+112.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+160%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+284.6%+$246.05
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35.5%+$4.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.5%+$24.76
Tulane vs. Templebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+108.7%+$12.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+83.7%+$167.25
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$94.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+98.8%+$47.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$22.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.7%+$7.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$180.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$345.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.