Cricket · resolved market
Will Australia win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c77fda3eea04cfd29ce13fbe9fc0e01def74c7b9c3fd5fe4f3e0ef6c30275aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc946…1825backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed Yes | 77c | 15,451$11,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 67c | 6,911$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.42 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 3c | 6,277$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Yes | 60c | 4,100$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.89 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked No | 6c | 3,940$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,829$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 77c | 3,634$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 61c | 2,978$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.58 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 32c | 2,882$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 8c | 2,712$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.79 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 64c | 2,136$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.53 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 62c | 1,901$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.66 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 1,473$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.43 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,415$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.06 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Yes | 57c | 1,360$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.9 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 1,350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Yes | 61c | 955.5$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.98 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed No | 22c | 743.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed No | 20c | 668.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…a3b0backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 22c | 491.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 475.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 110 | 6.4%7 W · 103 L | -18.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 43c | 473$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 78c | 453.19$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 68c | 413$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…268dbacked Yes | 50c | 399.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.39 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 47c | 389.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 74c | 380.76$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 54c | 367$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Yes | 77c | 353.16$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 27c | 319.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…dde9backed Yes | 60c | 314$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…b123backed Yes | 65c | 307$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…bedfbacked Yes | 44c | 226.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 22c | 179.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…3d9dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…79ebbacked Yes | 60c | 108$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…d9d9backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…1ef4backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 25c | 96.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…51f4backed Yes | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…ae0bbacked Yes | 61c | 78.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 70.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Yes | 71c | 69.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Yes | 72c | 56.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…19c2backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Yes | 72c | 49.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…bac8backed Yes | 52c | 36.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…2ce5backed No | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…5526backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…e664backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…98b5backed Yes | 62c | 31.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…18ccbacked Yes | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48a…80f8backed Yes | 60c | 30.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f50…7077backed Yes | 66c | 27.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…6e3bbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…d911backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…9b1cbacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…3995backed Yes | 60c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…f495backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia win?this page
- Will England win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.