Cricket · resolved market
Will England win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a2c37e8c1be5d8fb540ac2eea54da2f6fe52e0066405cbcb7b782ff4b298b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 2c | 31,641$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 2c | 7,717$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Yes | 8c | 6,300$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Yes | 16c | 5,828$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.65 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…dde9backed Yes | 27c | 5,250$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.21 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,866$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Yes | 8c | 3,600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 20c | 3,489$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.45 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 5c | 2,981$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 33c | 2,844$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 2,401$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 5c | 2,380$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,199$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c41ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,958$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 8c | 1,674$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 3c | 1,631$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,587$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 32c | 1,231$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.35 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 1,076$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 872$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 5c | 630.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 10c | 532.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 10c | 528.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…a3b0backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…ece6backed Yes | 33c | 455.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc90…31d8backed Yes | 16c | 445.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 4c | 387.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 5c | 322$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…bac8backed Yes | 7c | 290.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…1943backed Yes | 13c | 277.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…2b1bbacked Yes | 30c | 238.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e8…2443backed Yes | 16c | 222.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498e…0b1dbacked Yes | 9c | 213.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed76…c4c8backed Yes | 24c | 209.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…5001backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…7a97backed Yes | 33c | 159$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 11c | 141.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…0d8bbacked Yes | 23c | 96.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…8c9cbacked Yes | 16c | 75.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…8436backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 64c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 33c | 50.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 62c | 41.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win?this page
- Will Australia win?Yes won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.