Cricket · resolved market
Will the match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c365a516e64c36cd7948eac510c559eeb8c1e73d20f63b4c6ba441c0007bb2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Yes | 8c | 42,749$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.24 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…9ef7backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 16c | 7,824$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 13c | 3,829$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,038$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.95 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 2,239$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…89a3backed Yes | 14c | 1,388$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,338$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 79c | 745$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 20c | 733.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 20c | 674.28$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 29c | 648.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.39 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6d…c7f2backed Yes | 16c | 644.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 576.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 19c | 549$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 13c | 540.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Yes | 24c | 500$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f50…b9c8backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 19c | 485$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…ec4abacked Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…5833backed Yes | 16c | 410$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Yes | 5c | 340$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 13c | 321.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…d668backed Yes | 18c | 265$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c41ebacked Yes | 17c | 244.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…4823backed Yes | 21c | 239.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…1e58backed Yes | 16c | 235.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…3d9dbacked Yes | 17c | 233.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 14c | 227.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…ae0bbacked Yes | 13c | 221.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 17c | 192.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9276…be64backed Yes | 19c | 192.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 18c | 165.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6315…5a08backed Yes | 26c | 156.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 78c | 151.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…35c3backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…7eb9backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…79ebbacked Yes | 14c | 107$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 19c | 104.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…d56cbacked Yes | 20c | 100.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 79c | 96.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e44…53d0backed Yes | 15c | 91.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed76…c4c8backed Yes | 19c | 87.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 20c | 85.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…25ecbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d50…a391backed Yes | 14c | 78.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…e547backed Yes | 17c | 68.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c800backed Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…bfa4backed Yes | 22c | 44.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…937bbacked No | 77c | 35.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 79c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match end in a draw?this page
- Will Australia win?Yes won
- Will England win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.