TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa662…4823

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10740.2%43 W · 64 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$48.9
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$22.2
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+400%+$129.08
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+109%+$36.49
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$24.2
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+208.7%+$49.68
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+190.3%+$60.34
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$38.7
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.74
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+890.1%+$179.8
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.41
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.8
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$31.7
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$13.95
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.1
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.99
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.95
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$40.87
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.81
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.63
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.49
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$18.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$11.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.