TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets58c42,157$24,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,367.0936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics42c13,622$5,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,900.7766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics44c9,560$4,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,312.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Celtics49c9,480$4,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,879.631,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics43c5,992$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics42c5,029$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.981,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Celtics58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9610949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics44c4,742$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Hornets56c3,837$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.6915850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Hornets57c3,442$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.914556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics44c3,149$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics44c2,783$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.623,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics47c2,549$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.82,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Hornets51c2,532$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.3714245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Celtics45c2,149$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.899357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Celtics43c1,898$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.981,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Hornets53c1,891$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.496737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics43c1,823$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.112,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Hornets55c1,767$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.0517247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hornets42c1,618$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.6348352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Hornets53c1,578$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.1412646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Hornets51c1,553$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.011,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Hornets55c1,541$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.5313442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Celtics43c1,350$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.51,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets53c1,266$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics43c1,122$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Celtics48c1,116$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.22846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Hornets56c1,085$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.5416946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Celtics49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Celtics47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Celtics43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Celtics49c934.69$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.692832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics44c791.62$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.851,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics43c685.64$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Celtics45c650.62$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.844942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Celtics47c618.1$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5931151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Celtics46c617.81$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d9…56c4backed Celtics44c505.16$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.893571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Celtics47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Celtics47c411.49$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0940146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Hornets50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Hornets56c389.44$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Hornets56c389.44$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Hornets55c389.18$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.052638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Hornets55c379.12$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6721653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Celtics45c374.69$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Celtics45c374.69$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Celtics45c340$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics45c313.65$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.511,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Celtics45c313.65$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Celtics47c268.08$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Hornets54c266.58$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9522752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Hornets55c247.67$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2219548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Celtics45c239.8$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0720240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c02…502bbacked Hornets56c219.84$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Celtics44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12312845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Celtics45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Celtics45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1913153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Celtics47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.183366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Celtics44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11211556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics31c194.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.612,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Celtics50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9710045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hornets43c180.58$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Hornets54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2410249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics42c179.61$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.962,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Hornets54c179.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.252441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Celtics43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.421,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Celtics46c168.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.877051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics41c163.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.451,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets42c161.17$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.691,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets42c161.17$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Hornets42c161.17$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Celtics49c158.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.725347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Celtics43c157.53$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6110447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Celtics49c149.9$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.459045.6%41 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Celtics46c145.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.387341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Celtics44c135.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.591,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Celtics50c129.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.084438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Celtics45c123.28$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.816048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Celtics46c120.68$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Celtics46c120.68$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Celtics47c118.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.536848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics37c115.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.793,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Celtics45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0936852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Celtics45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Celtics45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0945445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics45c103.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.961,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Celtics47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.592369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics43c100.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.011,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Celtics45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5541050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Celtics48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5253339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Celtics50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.538152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Hornets71c92.61$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7536949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Celtics46c90.84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Hornets56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6810255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Celtics42c81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6539041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Hornets51c80.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1833653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c54…476dbacked Celtics46c78.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.483253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Celtics44c76.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.054930.6%15 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Celtics47c66.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8134641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.