NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da5986582fd37652759f02f1985030bfd43c3d39bb888d736239f7fbfd21354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 9,792$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.62 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 49c | 9,381$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635.52 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 52c | 7,471$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.97 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 49c | 6,144$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.76 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 4,953$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 51c | 4,953$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.97 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 3,472$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 2,943$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.14 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,503$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.76 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,485$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.58 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 52c | 1,253$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.55 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 10c | 922.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.86 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 750.36$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.54 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Over | 48c | 577.6$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.25 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 77c | 432.47$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 402$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 52c | 399.86$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.93 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 313$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 53c | 277.14$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 275.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Under | 53c | 239.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 76c | 207.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 53c | 184.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 50c | 175.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 153.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 25c | 135.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Under | 38c | 127.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 104.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 28c | 102.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…4e8dbacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 94.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…b08ebacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 89.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 65.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Under | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…4ce4backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 52c | 53.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 48.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…502bbacked Over | 50c | 48.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…fca5backed Under | 53c | 47.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 49c | 44.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c83…3a66backed Under | 51c | 29.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 61c | 26.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 24.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Under | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Over | 59c | 24.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 44c | 23.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Hornets vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.