TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under23c8,497$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,542.592,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over50c7,226$3,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,628.454332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over77c5,060$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.891,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb212…c63cbacked Under48c2,270$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402572%18 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+46.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,092$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under23c1,089$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.6852230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52015219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under48c999.93$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9653951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a96…c617backed Under48c937.33$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c763.47$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.1281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over49c759.27$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9127937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over53c720.1$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.662,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c541.55$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c524.07$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under23c476.82$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.371,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over55c442.27$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.258844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c391.78$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over52c370.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.327745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over53c368.13$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.116656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under38c361.77$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.691,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7574…9be2backed Over55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.62373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+51.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c342.1$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.14,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Over55c330$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.938942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c306.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under49c300.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under46c299.96$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over55c254.6$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.589646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed Over41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.462626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c204.69$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.941,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under44c202.46$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.381,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over54c199.05$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.498850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac6c…d0d4backed Over72c195.11$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.867153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Over53c194.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.012339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8824949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Over56c193.64$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.444852.1%25 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over54c180.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.694734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8332151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…375ebacked Over54c179.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c178.87$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over73c167.89$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8911753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over52c154.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2969049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed Under47c142.24$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.391258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c137.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.382,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over52c135.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c134.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.741,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under48c129.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3921347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over54c126.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.079854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over53c115.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c114.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.161,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under24c103.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7146255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under47c102.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5266046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under22c99.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.892,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0965…ac46backed Over41c97.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.12714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c93.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.531,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over53c92.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1426345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9502…7878backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.593256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Over41c89.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7712146.3%56 W · 65 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c75.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8437665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c73.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.381,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over42c73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Over24c72.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.313030%9 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0359…05a5backed Over52c68.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd79…3635backed Over49c61.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.083151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under22c60.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.957326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c59.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.591,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over78c59.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3333159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e98…f208backed Over46c54.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.181866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under45c52.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.996848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under47c52.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6623840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under45c49.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3720240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over52c45.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.684238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under47c45.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0824841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under38c45.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.943,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3710523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over41c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2231238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b5…5b6abacked Under48c40.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.211442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e68…75bbbacked Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65569.1%38 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over54c38.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4dc…ae0dbacked Under48c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over52c37.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7193145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under48c37.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Under52c37.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7613258.3%77 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over45c36.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4521952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.453863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Over55c35.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.474930.6%15 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c34.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.191,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over51c34.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb3…9dacbacked Under48c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over61c32.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9516369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under49c31.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1420146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over44c29.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.953745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over54c28.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.567048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac56…3f4fbacked Under48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5694…501cbacked Over53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.582369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Over54c27.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5921646.3%100 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d6…54edbacked Under48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.