TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c50,044$25,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,628.2932653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c45,164$21,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,381.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Over52c29,889$15,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,542.0748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over51c28,873$14,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,725.0519754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c19,943$10,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,210.581,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c19,758$9,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,827.651,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,649.9916346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under49c13,105$6,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,683.427852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c11,257$5,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,741.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over52c9,877$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,136.0413442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Over51c9,188$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,730.885655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under47c7,125$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,776.1949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under49c6,924$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.3941649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c6,428$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c6,024$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.482,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Under50c6,018$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.965947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Over53c5,761$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick67cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under48c5,484$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.767451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c3,957$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.9338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c2,914$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.0732846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under37c2,546$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c2,545$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.3914940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under49c2,460$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.7712850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under55c2,375$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.6931643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c2,295$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.681,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c2,158$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.7870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebcd…5c0bbacked Over52c1,920$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,793$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.75,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c1,405$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c1,291$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.352,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,211$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under12c1,173$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.311,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5615427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c1,069$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.742,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c1,049$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4821943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under49c950.01$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.5117349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c944.93$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.242,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c922.07$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c919.2$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.791,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under12c846.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.3631345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c803.86$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.012,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over46c750$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over49c731.07$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over72c685.1$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over76c648.09$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.8160444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under44c637.44$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.261,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over52c558.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3833251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under49c535.11$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9116845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Under28c519.12$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.636817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under12c459.31$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.551,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over53c458.4$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.958844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c437.2$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.9771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over52c433.14$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a7…b221backed Over51c416.88$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.611957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under36c344.46$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.413,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bee…f1e7backed Under52c339.92$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd797…9256backed Over49c339.29$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over47c330.17$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.821361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over48c312$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under25c306.64$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2827937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over48c292.81$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.217946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0d4…ba2cbacked Under50c265.78$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under49c260.71$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over53c238.37$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3326956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over53c238.37$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3314156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Under52c228.86$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.932147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under49c225.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Under49c222.09$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.273063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.339853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Under49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0447048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under13c200.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9829849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10235744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10419435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under13c196.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.111,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b79…b838backed Under50c191.87$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa12c…4834backed Over52c186.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.211060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb50d…81debacked Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.122259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under12c184.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1811759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1818552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ee…ae49backed Over53c181.12$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0965…ac46backed Under39c173.82$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over51c173.7$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1626824.6%66 W · 202 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under49c172.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8822351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Over51c158.21$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.695540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Over48c150.09$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.045650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c146.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.871,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdf…677bbacked Over67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…e029backed Over50c145.55$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.756254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under12c142.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.111,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under50c141.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over52c140.08$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8438453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over74c139.75$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.821,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.