TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5741…fb99backed Hornets78c8,533$6,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,657.0110945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics23c8,505$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,522.311,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets59c4,622$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics41c4,149$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics41c2,517$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Hornets59c1,884$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.975050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Celtics46c1,096$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.147647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics42c1,037$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.393,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61c7…01ddbacked Celtics47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Celtics8c944.8$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.2252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics40c899.96$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.981,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hornets58c839.8$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.3150954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics33c752.64$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.932,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Celtics42c746.88$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.192520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hornets36c679.15$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Hornets50c648.53$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.111,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Celtics46c632.61$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.3617047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Celtics42c589.7$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Hornets68c555.65$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5710559%62 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac94…e414backed Celtics43c506.6$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.763234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Celtics9c487.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.921,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Hornets51c477.63$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.621233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Hornets50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hornets58c396.32$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Celtics42c381.4$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics42c372.11$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.081,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…c700backed Hornets59c330.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Hornets53c315.84$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3924949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics43c271.93$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.455,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Celtics41c265$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Celtics42c246.89$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.216242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Hornets78c221.17$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5113864.5%89 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets58c219.79$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.582,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets53c208.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.252,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics35c203.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.723,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Hornets58c181.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2713151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets56c178.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.211,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Hornets59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.541,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f39…fc7fbacked Hornets60c162.81$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Hornets65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.920963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics41c147.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.062,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Hornets53c145.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Celtics54c134.85$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.924856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Celtics37c130.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9233632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…da42backed Hornets58c126.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.111931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Celtics41c122.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5616048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Celtics42c120.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Celtics42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6436852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Hornets60c114.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3127549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Celtics43c112.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0111455.3%63 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Hornets58c112.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9949852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics42c103.38$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.811,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics50c103.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.531,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Hornets59c102.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4361253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Hornets33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3344821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Celtics41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5941050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Hornets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023246.1%107 W · 125 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Celtics42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5829346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Celtics38c99.65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3413258.3%77 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Hornets54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6229646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hornets59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7772250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda9…4e88backed Hornets59c82.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bb…f8b9backed Hornets59c81.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.982454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Hornets15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics39c75.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Celtics42c74.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2120240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Celtics41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics42c60.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.992,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Hornets58c58.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1115649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics41c58.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.541,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Celtics42c57.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3232450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Celtics42c57.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.325060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Celtics42c52.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4231953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Celtics42c51.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Celtics40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Hornets65c49.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Celtics32c47.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Hornets58c46.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9714634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Celtics42c45.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.666844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d78…2650backed Celtics45c45.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x419e…4cd4backed Celtics45c45.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ebc…db9bbacked Celtics33c43.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+149.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Hornets59c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3925752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Hornets58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.211464.9%74 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4d…cc46backed Hornets60c37.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Celtics41c35.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked Celtics38c35.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.133237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Hornets59c35.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Hornets55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4614253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Celtics44c35.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6820146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Celtics40c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2139041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Celtics39c34.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.937037.1%26 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Celtics41c33.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Celtics43c33.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Hornets58c33.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Hornets59c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.519355.9%52 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade1…975fbacked Celtics44c31.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.46540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Hornets70c28.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Hornets58c27.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.051,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.