TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x61c7…01dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$57.3
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+530.9%+$168.3
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$145
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.1
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$440.71
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$421
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+73%+$211
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$208
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$124.16
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,094.21
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$57.09
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$814.1
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.36
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.69
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$89.5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$79.38
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$22.27
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.35
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+54.5%+$183.58
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ChatGPT Outage by April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
ChatGPT Outage by April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.2
ChatGPT Outage by April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$48.46
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.5
ChatGPT Outage by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,992.94
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.21
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$321.23
ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$102.6
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+84.5%+$699.69
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$314.17
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$753.88
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.83
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.98
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$698
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.98
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 16?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$172.7
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$103.12
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+331%+$76.8
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.8%+$60.9
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aligned FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$35.88
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$197
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31%+$71
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$271.89
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.6%+$1,014.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,506Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$3,094
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$45.22
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$386
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.