AI · resolved market
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35155be9ad199e97505970a5dfb2b4bca7a9d1bb7b731389a590091997998a78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,177,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,886,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,177,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 771 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f8d…6f61backed No | 0c | 771,730$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a5…e5f0backed No | 0c | 704,119$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…6706backed No | 0c | 683,311$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…ce98backed No | 0c | 501,584$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…5eccbacked No | 0c | 307,714$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf865…5a27backed No | 0c | 270,058$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…4096backed No | 0c | 259,718$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…2fc0backed No | 0c | 250,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…588cbacked No | 0c | 240,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed No | 4c | 203,525$8,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,797.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…7549backed No | 0c | 201,000$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2084…2175backed No | 25c | 174,080$43,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,623.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…c5efbacked No | 0c | 153,725$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca0…4a34backed No | 1c | 147,024$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…2febbacked No | 0c | 130,743$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…d71dbacked No | 0c | 125,140$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…52e3backed No | 0c | 125,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…0198backed No | 0c | 112,870$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe772…b926backed No | 0c | 104,599$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…4d82backed No | 0c | 103,250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…21b8backed No | 0c | 103,000$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…9844backed No | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d867backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…52b6backed No | 0c | 99,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 0c | 94,047$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…c23fbacked No | 0c | 87,066$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…63efbacked No | 0c | 76,740$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…2497backed No | 0c | 76,600$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…42a8backed No | 0c | 75,477$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2c…c5aebacked No | 0c | 75,250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked No | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…4084backed No | 0c | 72,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…8738backed No | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e95…132dbacked No | 0c | 59,020$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…7797backed No | 0c | 57,755$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd278…f852backed No | 0c | 57,515$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…613ebacked No | 0c | 56,920$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…3832backed No | 0c | 55,245$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…9a32backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…df5fbacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b8…2bcdbacked No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7842backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb005…1c3ebacked No | 0c | 49,837$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…47d8backed No | 1c | 47,419$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…be82backed No | 0c | 46,687$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8e…d9edbacked No | 10c | 46,616$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…316fbacked No | 0c | 44,145$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…3d51backed No | 0c | 43,651$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…beaebacked No | 0c | 43,122$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a036backed No | 0c | 39,685$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…825ebacked No | 2c | 38,973$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 77c | 36,480$28,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,212.06 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc029…0533backed No | 0c | 35,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4663…ad6bbacked No | 0c | 34,950$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…bdafbacked No | 0c | 34,380$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…760bbacked No | 0c | 33,761$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…3d33backed No | 0c | 33,665$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…e4bbbacked No | 0c | 32,785$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52cf…946abacked No | 0c | 32,247$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…8397backed No | 1c | 31,403$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d4…f594backed No | 0c | 30,403$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…7cb5backed No | 0c | 30,042$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…40c0backed No | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…62eabacked No | 0c | 29,315$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…8db3backed No | 9c | 28,950$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…bcfabacked No | 1c | 25,300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4807…9be5backed No | 0c | 25,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…325dbacked No | 0c | 25,004$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…3c5ebacked No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…7170backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…3a6ebacked No | 0c | 24,451$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…398bbacked No | 0c | 24,068$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb5…de00backed No | 0c | 23,710$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…8edebacked No | 0c | 22,008$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f83…d53cbacked No | 0c | 21,310$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed No | 0c | 21,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 70c | 20,345$14,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,103.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…17cfbacked No | 1c | 20,102$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…c675backed No | 0c | 20,040$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…facdbacked No | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7395…8752backed No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…a094backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…0abbbacked No | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…a605backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…8cfdbacked No | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…9a76backed No | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…e3e0backed No | 0c | 19,945$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a2e8backed No | 1c | 19,905$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…1fc1backed Yes | 65c | 19,848$12,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,040.37 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed24…f0b1backed No | 0c | 19,742$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…7d1cbacked No | 0c | 19,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x826e…a935backed No | 0c | 18,635$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 71c | 18,107$12,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,221.18 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 0c | 18,033$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915a…8600backed No | 0c | 18,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72b…077bbacked No | 0c | 17,758$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 38c | 17,188$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,543.62 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…8f63backed No | 1c | 16,671$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…12aebacked No | 0c | 16,667$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?this page
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No won
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No won
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.