AI · resolved market
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b68255809008f82d48f3337c24b601326e75a25ea447d37ad3f084cd349bac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,053,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,200,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,053,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 794 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2084…2175backed No | 43c | 172,586$74,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,318.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…e602backed Yes | 37c | 57,647$21,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,316.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 59c | 50,835$30,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,832.02 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…e84cbacked Yes | 39c | 27,945$10,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,085.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8e…d9edbacked No | 60c | 25,121$14,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,981.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 43c | 22,476$9,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,700.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed No | 69c | 18,510$12,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,809.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 58c | 18,140$10,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,663.26 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb005…1c3ebacked Yes | 59c | 16,897$9,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,908.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…0abbbacked No | 46c | 14,985$6,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,843 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 64c | 13,302$8,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 53c | 13,259$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,079.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 49c | 11,803$5,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.23 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01b…a7c4backed No | 59c | 11,617$6,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,812.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2e…863fbacked Yes | 27c | 10,740$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed No | 29c | 10,730$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…825ebacked No | 12c | 10,663$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a2e8backed No | 14c | 10,184$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 39c | 10,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…44fabacked No | 30c | 9,859$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 34c | 9,552$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.24 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 58c | 8,852$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.5 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 8,790$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…07adbacked No | 45c | 8,028$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Yes | 17c | 7,581$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,256.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +364.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 27c | 7,447$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Yes | 63c | 7,323$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…4096backed No | 5c | 7,255$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…8d53backed Yes | 63c | 6,987$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…bdb0backed No | 45c | 6,863$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 71c | 5,878$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 5,792$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.63 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 60c | 5,663$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…308fbacked No | 55c | 5,338$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked No | 33c | 4,873$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…4cc4backed Yes | 62c | 4,580$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.04 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…ac50backed No | 54c | 4,535$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 58c | 4,315$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.29 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…25b8backed Yes | 67c | 4,307$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…7c58backed No | 45c | 4,287$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…a6c3backed No | 52c | 4,197$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568f…00a7backed No | 73c | 4,025$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 40c | 4,004$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.29 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 51c | 3,934$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.49 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…25a2backed No | 73c | 3,783$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 12c | 3,475$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…a1ebbacked No | 46c | 3,459$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d88…81a0backed No | 61c | 3,437$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…2deebacked No | 45c | 3,266$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132b…be94backed Yes | 73c | 3,178$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…523fbacked No | 51c | 3,112$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 46c | 3,005$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.21 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,001$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.87 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed Yes | 70c | 2,998$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cf…d339backed Yes | 65c | 2,982$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…1d1ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,975$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 33c | 2,962$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…2184backed No | 73c | 2,932$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…8db3backed No | 70c | 2,856$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bac…8684backed Yes | 63c | 2,854$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed No | 49c | 2,820$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 71c | 2,752$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked No | 57c | 2,724$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…82fbbacked Yes | 57c | 2,637$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 24c | 2,578$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.44 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 71c | 2,571$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.74 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 76c | 2,560$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…1fc1backed Yes | 61c | 2,531$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.72 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 55c | 2,508$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 45c | 2,461$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.53 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…e167backed Yes | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 73c | 2,380$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.7 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…85eebacked Yes | 61c | 2,376$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked No | 32c | 2,358$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 45c | 2,352$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…ac6ebacked No | 59c | 2,309$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 63c | 2,253$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed No | 43c | 2,235$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,202$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 30c | 2,108$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.44 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 55c | 2,104$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.93 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 54c | 2,101$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.07 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked No | 36c | 2,081$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,071$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.22 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2daa…c8c7backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 36c | 1,960$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.11 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 7c | 1,947$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…00e4backed No | 28c | 1,928$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 79c | 1,908$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…96ecbacked No | 74c | 1,900$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…4d58backed No | 49c | 1,899$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…f593backed No | 51c | 1,886$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…2e9bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,853$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.51 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 54c | 1,849$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…59a1backed Yes | 45c | 1,838$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b4…fd44backed Yes | 55c | 1,801$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?this page
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No won
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes won
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.