AI · resolved market
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19e22d98e7a7f46e08247d359fb446193484e8522125b249ec0ac38a10320697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,086,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,086,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,086,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x373d…46f5backed Yes | 10c | 46,267$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 66c | 39,103$25,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,394.1 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…f22cbacked No | 48c | 38,427$18,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,982.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…ae72backed Yes | 52c | 38,427$19,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,982.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…a750backed Yes | 43c | 26,915$11,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,440.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed Yes | 63c | 23,191$14,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,624.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…e84cbacked Yes | 11c | 20,021$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 19,711$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.51 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…e167backed Yes | 9c | 17,037$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 63c | 16,913$10,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,194 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb005…1c3ebacked Yes | 12c | 16,178$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 10c | 15,790$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.64 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 14,274$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.4 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead4…af67backed Yes | 10c | 13,518$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86e…efd7backed Yes | 17c | 12,590$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 78c | 12,518$9,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.06 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…9eb9backed Yes | 6c | 11,292$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…8d53backed Yes | 12c | 9,982$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 4c | 9,886$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 7c | 9,586$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.78 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 11c | 9,368$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.9 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 10c | 9,100$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.51 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 39c | 9,095$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 8,900$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes | 53c | 8,183$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…87cbbacked Yes | 14c | 8,118$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c31…95e9backed Yes | 31c | 7,597$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 26c | 7,356$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.44 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 17c | 7,355$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.55 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…dd55backed No | 74c | 6,576$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a2…1674backed Yes | 9c | 6,433$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 9c | 6,372$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Yes | 17c | 6,355$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ee2dbacked Yes | 9c | 6,077$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 63c | 5,657$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 77c | 4,925$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…1d2bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,240$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…3186backed Yes | 0c | 4,102$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 3,788$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 42c | 3,721$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…85eebacked Yes | 10c | 3,622$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 34c | 3,518$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…a2c4backed No | 69c | 3,477$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5f…55ccbacked Yes | 22c | 3,345$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 20c | 3,260$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.9 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,199$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.62 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x132b…be94backed Yes | 13c | 3,079$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…4300backed Yes | 18c | 3,068$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 47c | 3,009$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 57c | 2,863$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.68 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…eb52backed No | 76c | 2,820$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 42c | 2,760$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 6c | 2,727$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…ad20backed Yes | 7c | 2,700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed Yes | 1c | 2,653$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…774dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,610$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…704cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,560$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 79c | 2,539$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…cb97backed Yes | 54c | 2,511$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 75c | 2,469$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 29c | 2,443$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.32 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…6b34backed Yes | 6c | 2,395$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 27c | 2,249$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.97 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 35c | 2,156$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.72 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 3c | 2,014$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed No | 48c | 2,000$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…2065backed No | 47c | 1,956$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Yes | 14c | 1,863$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…009fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,750$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…7529backed Yes | 6c | 1,671$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…bee7backed No | 57c | 1,657$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,656$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…8816backed Yes | 21c | 1,652$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 19c | 1,612$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.67 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed No | 80c | 1,586$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…67b3backed Yes | 11c | 1,560$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 60c | 1,553$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.99 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 24c | 1,521$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.58 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…22abbacked No | 40c | 1,509$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,493$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 37c | 1,475$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.28 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 34c | 1,472$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +148.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes | 9c | 1,456$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…5553backed No | 76c | 1,434$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…31aebacked Yes | 9c | 1,373$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…b2fabacked Yes | 68c | 1,355$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…b249backed Yes | 11c | 1,338$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…3295backed Yes | 10c | 1,326$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…f448backed No | 75c | 1,299$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 9c | 1,263$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6df1backed No | 42c | 1,192$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…e917backed Yes | 4c | 1,181$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 12c | 1,112$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 51c | 1,100$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.81 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed No | 61c | 1,100$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…72cdbacked No | 75c | 1,087$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…ede5backed Yes | 27c | 1,064$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?this page
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes won
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No won
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.