AI · resolved market
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e5059c7da53831106c8bef58877a2bde2702cd570a85e4d0dff833dbf5ad7a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8584…a750backed Yes | 10c | 16,221$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ee2dbacked Yes | 10c | 9,426$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…b3edbacked Yes | 19c | 7,334$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…8731backed Yes | 17c | 6,836$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes | 13c | 6,458$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.38 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…f4b1backed Yes | 12c | 5,710$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f04…b950backed Yes | 11c | 5,154$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…8a2fbacked Yes | 64c | 4,876$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…9142backed Yes | 12c | 4,489$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed Yes | 14c | 4,158$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 12c | 3,849$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fb…4064backed Yes | 12c | 3,236$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…5cb9backed Yes | 22c | 3,121$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…f9e0backed Yes | 19c | 3,111$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…fcb3backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…2e51backed Yes | 10c | 2,962$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…bfa4backed Yes | 14c | 2,525$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…d256backed No | 79c | 2,481$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 6c | 2,463$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 22c | 2,292$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.32 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 9c | 2,112$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…27eabacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 1,893$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46a…a318backed Yes | 32c | 1,818$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 9c | 1,755$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.33 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 1,693$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.56 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes | 11c | 1,602$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 74c | 1,571$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.98 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…1592backed Yes | 15c | 1,564$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.23 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 15c | 1,477$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 3c | 1,459$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…cb97backed Yes | 14c | 1,427$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…962ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,383$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 1,369$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…db35backed Yes | 12c | 1,313$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,278$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.41 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,213$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…9d34backed Yes | 6c | 1,212$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,202$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7497backed Yes | 11c | 1,132$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…da07backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…566fbacked Yes | 14c | 960$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 908$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.12 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +104%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 14c | 895.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 11c | 832.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…c854backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 11c | 588.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 17c | 586.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 42c | 574.69$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 77c | 511.01$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed Yes | 12c | 500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe213…c26cbacked Yes | 19c | 466.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 22c | 454$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.12 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed Yes | 9c | 448.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…2420backed Yes | 14c | 413.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d8…e57abacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…53e8backed Yes | 17c | 377.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed No | 43c | 376.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 372.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Yes | 10c | 352.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d7…19c4backed Yes | 12c | 342.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 77c | 342.08$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…480dbacked Yes | 5c | 327.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 10c | 305.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…77cbbacked Yes | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…10e7backed Yes | 14c | 298.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…d4b6backed Yes | 7c | 275.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e1…cc0cbacked Yes | 18c | 250.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb83…87e0backed Yes | 19c | 226.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…a1cabacked Yes | 11c | 208$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 205.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…4f5cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d0…79d1backed Yes | 12c | 187.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c805backed Yes | 16c | 184$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…d2bfbacked Yes | 11c | 181.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6225backed Yes | 16c | 181.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccc…99e7backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…d7a1backed Yes | 6c | 173$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed Yes | 12c | 171.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 18c | 157$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…f914backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…7c70backed Yes | 12c | 128.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091d…44ddbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…7a7bbacked Yes | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…654abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…f8b8backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea1…65fabacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…347fbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…4900backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…efb3backed Yes | 14c | 70.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed Yes | 20c | 56.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?this page
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No won
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes won
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.