TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f88…c805

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$149.43
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.68
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.42
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$43.8
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$29.46
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.59
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+75.2%+$25.74
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.89
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.41
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$4.98
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$86.61
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Angels vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Giants vs. Marlinsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.36
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$121.82
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.24
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.78
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.88
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.08
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$93.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$32.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$30.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.