NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb96fd75a2469b541f17417359b381500f6cbdd3f8e04fab365d5b5c42f43bbec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $687,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $713,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $687,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 742 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stars | 54c | 129,250$69,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,260.5 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Oilers | 54c | 84,557$45,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,235.98 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc642…565ebacked Stars | 14c | 77,068$11,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,159.28 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Oilers | 45c | 57,100$25,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,405.08 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Stars | 26c | 34,501$8,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,966.49 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Stars | 54c | 28,560$15,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,368.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Oilers | 46c | 25,540$11,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,772.99 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Stars | 54c | 24,312$13,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,128.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 46c | 20,358$9,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,094.46 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Oilers | 74c | 18,200$13,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.62 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Oilers | 47c | 16,979$7,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,050.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Stars | 54c | 16,341$8,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,823.98 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Oilers | 59c | 15,000$8,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,139.84 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 8c | 13,000$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Oilers | 51c | 11,946$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900.45 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 54c | 11,614$6,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,271.29 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 74c | 10,881$8,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.32 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Oilers | 46c | 10,810$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 54c | 10,538$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.39 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Oilers | 46c | 10,190$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.14 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 15c | 10,052$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.15 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Stars | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Oilers | 71c | 9,000$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 54c | 8,794$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Stars | 53c | 8,426$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Stars | 14c | 6,773$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.93 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Oilers | 47c | 6,015$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.25 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Oilers | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Stars | 54c | 5,984$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.19 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 34c | 5,513$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 51c | 5,135$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.6 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Stars | 45c | 5,045$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Stars | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.96 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Stars | 55c | 4,400$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 54c | 4,303$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.62 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 36c | 4,291$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.86 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers | 46c | 4,234$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.36 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 55c | 4,095$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.89 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Stars | 1c | 4,088$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Oilers | 70c | 3,628$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.31 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Oilers | 45c | 3,408$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.5 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…0042backed Stars | 30c | 3,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 53c | 3,093$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.19 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 6c | 3,033$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…48a5backed Oilers | 46c | 2,670$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Oilers | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Oilers | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.43 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Oilers | 47c | 2,304$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.02 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Oilers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Stars | 1c | 2,042$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…3cc5backed Oilers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Oilers | 47c | 2,000$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Oilers | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 53c | 1,869$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.72 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…f8d4backed Oilers | 46c | 1,868$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Stars | 54c | 1,866$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Stars | 13c | 1,847$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Stars | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Stars | 54c | 1,550$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc5…0544backed Oilers | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…dad7backed Stars | 53c | 1,438$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…7f04backed Stars | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4769…2ea2backed Oilers | 47c | 1,364$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…5fd2backed Stars | 54c | 1,241$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8f…bcebbacked Oilers | 47c | 1,174$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…2c07backed Stars | 54c | 1,157$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…0020backed Oilers | 46c | 1,117$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902b…92edbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,083$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…0771backed Oilers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Stars | 55c | 1,054$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.66 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8362…d9fdbacked Stars | 54c | 1,043$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Oilers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Stars | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Stars | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…d29ebacked Oilers | 51c | 983.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Oilers | 46c | 934$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Stars | 54c | 934$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…7718backed Stars | 54c | 911$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Stars | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e0d4backed Oilers | 46c | 909$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…efe2backed Oilers | 46c | 891$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ce…7d8bbacked Stars | 54c | 889$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Stars | 12c | 884.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Stars | 54c | 850$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Stars | 54c | 845$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.3 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Oilers | 47c | 818.28$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.69 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Stars | 54c | 789.81$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars | 52c | 774.42$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…ff03backed Stars | 35c | 773.78$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…28d2backed Stars | 54c | 759$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Oilers | 46c | 746$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.84 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3479…f2bdbacked Oilers | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649c…d778backed Oilers | 47c | 730.28$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…fd7bbacked Oilers | 47c | 710.64$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Stars | 17c | 710.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Stars | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Oilers | 47c | 677.17$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.92 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.