MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6612afcf67627f21a2c0f092be841e80e107f9f0e3c44a2ff5495a20cff210d7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $645,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $643,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,632 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	241,682$141,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141,668.83	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals	41c	129,435$53,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76,108.19	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals	50c	49,923$24,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,047.38	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals	41c	39,285$16,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,168.75	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	30,000$17,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,700	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals	42c	25,339$10,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,790.31	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals	42c	23,810$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,809.52	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	22,000$12,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,980	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals	42c	15,101$6,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,784.27	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	42c	14,848$6,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,632.82	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks	31c	13,803$4,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,310.63	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	5c	13,290$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.61	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	12,398$7,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,314.6	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals	43c	11,830$5,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,758.52	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals	42c	11,384$4,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,602.67	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	10,487$4,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,509.27	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Arizona Diamondbacks	58c	10,114$5,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,866.36	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Arizona Diamondbacks	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	186	52.7%98 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Washington Nationals	57c	10,000$5,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,300	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Washington Nationals	42c	10,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,800	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals	62c	8,341$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,141.35	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals	41c	7,739$3,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,527.86	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals	58c	6,349$3,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,691.13	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Washington Nationals	63c	6,033$3,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,232.67	517	56.5%292 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals	42c	5,952$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,452.38	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks	39c	5,644$2,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,207.38	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	5,081$2,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,990.46	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Washington Nationals	69c	5,051$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,551.21	179	51.4%92 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Arizona Diamondbacks	11c	4,711$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.37	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals	42c	3,915$1,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,266.08	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Arizona Diamondbacks	30c	3,878$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164.65	217	67.7%147 W · 70 L	+36.1wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals	42c	3,876$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,255.95	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	35c	3,809$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.71	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals	52c	3,454$1,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,647.05	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Arizona Diamondbacks	39c	3,352$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.99	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals	41c	3,007$1,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,768.28	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals	41c	3,000$1,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,769.94	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals	44c	2,974$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,674.37	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals	42c	2,860$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,659.69	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Arizona Diamondbacks	48c	2,800$1,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Arizona Diamondbacks	7c	2,701$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.04	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals	42c	2,700$1,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,552.96	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals	52c	2,624$1,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253.21	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	56c	2,600$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.06	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	2,500$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+6.2wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals	78c	2,339$1,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.48	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Washington Nationals	72c	2,327$1,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.96	603	50.1%302 W · 301 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks	45c	2,155$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.42	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks	28c	2,140$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.59	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals	58c	2,124$1,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.84	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	1,800$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062	199	50.3%100 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Arizona Diamondbacks	58c	1,754$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.55	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Nationals	42c	1,738$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.76	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks	58c	1,720$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.9	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	1,700$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks	46c	1,631$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.07	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Arizona Diamondbacks	33c	1,602$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.32	159	42.8%68 W · 91 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	1,428$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.47	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	1,329$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.32	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	1,320$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.8	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Washington Nationals	44c	1,291$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.72	694	47.6%330 W · 364 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals	42c	1,250$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$725	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks	35c	1,226$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals	61c	1,133$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.93	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	39c	1,026$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	58c	1,025$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.43	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Arizona Diamondbacks	50c	936.79$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.19	123	46.3%57 W · 66 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks	58c	901.98$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.15	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	37c	820.3$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.71	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	808$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.72	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	57c	800$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	29c	784.43$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229	107	19.6%21 W · 86 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks	38c	784.09$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.5	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc9…d80bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	30c	744.46$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.34	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	719.46$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.98	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Washington Nationals	42c	714.29$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.29	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals	42c	692.15$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.33	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals	65c	657$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.58	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Washington Nationals	42c	622.8$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.17	515	55.7%287 W · 228 L	+19.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Washington Nationals	42c	617$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.86	2,045	53.8%1,100 W · 945 L	+32.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Washington Nationals	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	777	52.1%405 W · 372 L	+36.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Arizona Diamondbacks	27c	600$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Arizona Diamondbacks	50c	575.41$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.93	205	39.5%81 W · 124 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks	32c	538.24$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.04	707	35.1%248 W · 459 L	-31.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Washington Nationals	64c	533.98$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.33	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2208…53eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	533.19$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals	43c	520$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.4	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	508.47$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks	46c	507.75$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.57	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	500$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	282	58.5%165 W · 117 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Washington Nationals	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	59c	500$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+6.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals	42c	480$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.8	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Washington Nationals	42c	476.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.19	405	54.8%222 W · 183 L	+17.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	38c	461.92$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.58	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks	33c	454.54$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals	60c	449.27$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.71	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Washington Nationals	42c	438.52$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.34	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals	42c	430.67$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.79	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event