MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c27426ebb5bca58e8e75f8b7c5d70ce2aa451370e91345b263712e87ff4113f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2465…2f73backed Phillies | 54c | 30,653$16,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,552.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…49b7backed Braves | 46c | 30,110$13,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,259.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 69c | 15,752$10,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.55 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Phillies | 1c | 11,806$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…451ebacked Phillies | 54c | 9,999$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…7334backed Phillies | 54c | 9,996$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…3000backed Braves | 46c | 9,996$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…124dbacked Braves | 46c | 9,990$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 52c | 9,011$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.41 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Phillies | 54c | 7,752$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 59c | 4,921$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.89 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Phillies | 53c | 4,118$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.13 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Phillies | 48c | 3,757$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.36 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 38c | 3,472$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.8 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Braves | 51c | 3,086$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Phillies | 52c | 3,007$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Phillies | 51c | 2,998$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Braves | 49c | 2,990$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phillies | 34c | 2,936$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.96 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Phillies | 13c | 2,866$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Phillies | 54c | 2,542$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 49c | 2,499$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.14 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 55c | 2,392$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Braves | 47c | 2,328$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.03 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 50c | 2,299$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.59 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 4c | 2,192$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Braves | 54c | 2,142$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.75 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…7b65backed Braves | 47c | 2,043$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1f…20c8backed Braves | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Phillies | 7c | 1,999$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…0ebcbacked Braves | 46c | 1,911$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…a574backed Braves | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Phillies | 52c | 1,408$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.35 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Braves | 48c | 1,308$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.86 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 48c | 1,168$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.93 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 72c | 1,163$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.15 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 47c | 1,145$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.07 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…7cdbbacked Braves | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…29babacked Phillies | 53c | 1,047$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb70…f9d5backed Braves | 46c | 1,033$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…a897backed Phillies | 54c | 1,024$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…5e48backed Phillies | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 46c | 1,019$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Braves | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…d547backed Phillies | 53c | 995$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…c2a5backed Phillies | 54c | 983$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…16adbacked Phillies | 54c | 981$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 45c | 980.93$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…2416backed Phillies | 54c | 976$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…dcb7backed Braves | 46c | 967$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…9e0cbacked Phillies | 54c | 963$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…e6dabacked Braves | 46c | 950$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 53c | 944.89$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.79 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…2949backed Phillies | 54c | 937$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Braves | 47c | 936.57$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.41 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…8e5dbacked Phillies | 54c | 928$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Phillies | 16c | 912.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…8f1abacked Braves | 47c | 878$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Braves | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a6…6db5backed Braves | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Phillies | 50c | 799.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 2c | 797.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Phillies | 29c | 736.72$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Phillies | 37c | 705.65$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…397ebacked Phillies | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Phillies | 54c | 678.02$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…a6c9backed Phillies | 54c | 650$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…a014backed Braves | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…adc4backed Phillies | 54c | 650$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…3b86backed Phillies | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Phillies | 7c | 598.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Phillies | 38c | 584.47$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Phillies | 22c | 549.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Phillies | 49c | 506.12$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 49c | 468.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…dd29backed Phillies | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…fbfdbacked Phillies | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…c03dbacked Phillies | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…6337backed Phillies | 10c | 440.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Phillies | 52c | 408.52$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.43 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Braves | 51c | 406.62$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Phillies | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Braves | 49c | 387.15$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.45 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 57c | 386.28$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Phillies | 34c | 368.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 37c | 367.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 55c | 365.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…2fefbacked Phillies | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…c41abacked Phillies | 52c | 335$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 7c | 329.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Phillies | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d22fbacked Phillies | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies | 52c | 269.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Braves | 48c | 264.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 48c | 237.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.