Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab65843b77ecbd28f561df9f26a5ba3bdff5dfdf5bb127e56e416e0702e730fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 26c | 100,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 73c | 56,962$41,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,166.46 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 33,878$23,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120.54 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 27c | 23,603$6,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,346.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 21,471$15,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.91 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 21,450$15,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.74 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 36c | 18,256$6,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,624.9 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 12,527$9,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 27c | 9,344$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 51c | 8,988$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.69 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 60c | 5,709$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.93 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 27c | 5,185$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.97 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 4,667$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 62c | 4,122$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.12 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 3,825$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.96 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 37c | 2,697$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.5 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 74c | 2,569$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.87 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 74c | 2,489$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.84 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 74c | 2,376$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.68 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 2,343$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.35 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…8ed6backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 73c | 1,850$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.43 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…d360backed Yes | 59c | 1,802$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 75c | 1,781$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 1,693$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.05 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 51c | 1,499$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…6842backed Yes | 27c | 1,463$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 1,462$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 1,419$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.94 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 26c | 1,281$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 27c | 1,202$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.7 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,163$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 25c | 1,088$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.04 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 26c | 1,058$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.18 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 71c | 1,006$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 28c | 967$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.57 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 25c | 925.52$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.38 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 73c | 916.41$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.43 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…45cdbacked Yes | 27c | 859$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 63c | 784$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 13c | 733.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 27c | 721.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 27c | 660$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 27c | 640$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 50c | 626.95$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.57 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 74c | 499.91$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 25c | 492.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Yes | 61c | 490.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 74c | 473$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 19c | 466.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.85 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 463$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 29c | 451.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 18c | 449.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.6 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 27c | 428.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 75c | 417$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 20c | 399.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…a7c4backed Yes | 29c | 390.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Yes | 78c | 385.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd830…7848backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc284…dd44backed Yes | 27c | 370.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 363.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes | 28c | 359$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 337.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77d…2f85backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 72c | 272.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…83fcbacked Yes | 29c | 265.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 56c | 263.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c805backed Yes | 74c | 233.62$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 73c | 232.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 26c | 227.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 26c | 222.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 220$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 26c | 219.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Yes | 26c | 212.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked No | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 69c | 185.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…3d66backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 27c | 183.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7b…3c9ebacked Yes | 26c | 181.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce79…a5d3backed Yes | 28c | 180.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 45c | 178.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 31c | 172.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…f769backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?Yes won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.