Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf604eceef5bf3b13fa5abe90664ebe0e95fd62d65ba565381d8917d2337efa97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 32c | 25,219$8,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,148.97 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 67c | 21,638$14,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,554.59 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 68c | 20,005$13,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,603.52 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 32c | 11,009$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,486.39 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a307backed No | 68c | 10,731$7,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,297 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 58c | 7,555$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.09 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 39c | 7,019$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.64 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 32c | 7,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.98 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 32c | 6,500$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…87c7backed Yes | 33c | 6,145$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked No | 63c | 5,591$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 4,957$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 67c | 4,918$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.05 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 64c | 4,643$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.71 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 50c | 4,285$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.95 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 60c | 4,116$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.22 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed No | 44c | 3,450$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.93 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…867bbacked No | 67c | 3,351$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 77c | 3,171$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.56 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…f2f9backed No | 67c | 3,131$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 42c | 3,016$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.56 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed No | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed No | 68c | 2,851$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 80c | 2,643$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.18 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 61c | 2,600$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.97 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b13…cd27backed Yes | 33c | 2,591$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 67c | 2,385$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.92 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked No | 68c | 2,374$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 35c | 2,350$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.82 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…0548backed No | 66c | 2,132$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 50c | 2,123$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.85 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 2,033$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.2 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 2,011$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.39 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…1b14backed No | 68c | 1,931$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…0d7ebacked No | 68c | 1,930$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 32c | 1,929$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…55aabacked No | 68c | 1,922$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…6e75backed No | 68c | 1,920$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…c1e9backed No | 68c | 1,851$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde98…bedfbacked Yes | 33c | 1,851$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…3f7cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,833$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…85afbacked Yes | 33c | 1,819$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4140…0272backed Yes | 33c | 1,759$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…e835backed Yes | 33c | 1,759$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…24c6backed Yes | 33c | 1,755$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…202bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,751$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…510dbacked No | 68c | 1,745$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…0997backed Yes | 34c | 1,729$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,710$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.59 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…eeb0backed Yes | 33c | 1,682$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…d53fbacked No | 68c | 1,658$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 1,628$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.51 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 1,571$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 32c | 1,502$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.69 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…b7febacked No | 68c | 1,414$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 68c | 1,257$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 39c | 1,119$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.47 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 33c | 1,105$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.86 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…51f4backed No | 44c | 1,054$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3791…158fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…5d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…b772backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 31c | 997.06$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.97 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 54c | 952.28$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.28 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 54c | 926.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.11 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 32c | 868.05$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.73 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed Yes | 33c | 814.02$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 25c | 780$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 33c | 777$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.59 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked No | 67c | 746.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 77c | 690$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.3 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…f876backed Yes | 33c | 685$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 23c | 651.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.77 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked No | 68c | 555.63$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.83 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked No | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed No | 72c | 537.5$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 11c | 535.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.32 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 33c | 515.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.15 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 54c | 472.68$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.43 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 451.73$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.17 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed No | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 33c | 424.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.24 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 11c | 422$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…68a2backed No | 68c | 406$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…cc94backed No | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…197bbacked Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked No | 50c | 399.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 60c | 386.14$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed No | 68c | 386$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…a48abacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.