TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Guardians

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Angels, Guardians
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce1f…41a9backed Angels78c7,665$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.454858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90d…0b4dbacked Guardians52c6,667$3,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,451.942231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Guardians21c4,788$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.859,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels43c4,133$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.7469249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Guardians28c3,585$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.125545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d5…48e6backed Angels43c2,100$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1974100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Guardians40c2,060$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.9741643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe142…86d5backed Angels63c2,050$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.761752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Guardians50c2,046$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.8616151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Guardians57c2,010$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.73743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked Angels43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeef…21a8backed Angels43c1,874$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Angels42c1,854$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.419448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Guardians3c1,686$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7212314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians30c1,673$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.952,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Angels66c1,335$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.8897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Guardians38c1,322$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.548530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Guardians57c1,275$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.497248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c8…4072backed Guardians57c1,088$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians50c1,057$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.8886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef4c…e162backed Guardians57c1,012$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Angels43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba2b…3641backed Guardians57c965$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85cf…03a9backed Guardians57c909$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.13837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Guardians4c900$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians58c850$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49388549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians39c770.77$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.491,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Angels43c750$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.57450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Guardians57c561.4$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206038.3%23 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Guardians46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1565…e6b0backed Guardians57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Guardians56c492.68$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.95,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Guardians57c437.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6415949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians40c422.74$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.421,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Angels62c405.99$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4640547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a0…dd29backed Guardians57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9eb…a6c9backed Angels43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc80f…7bc7backed Angels43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Angels77c355.34$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.481,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f5b…6759backed Angels59c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Angels59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.984261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Angels50c329.53$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.331,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Guardians35c310.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Guardians40c300$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Guardians50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Angels38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18614549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians56c299.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9968656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Guardians35c250$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6130928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Angels43c232.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a3…5532backed Guardians67c223.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.931154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians7c202.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Guardians57c199.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Angels57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Angels43c158.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0834051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1340…e6a5backed Angels43c122.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…e54bbacked Angels57c116.21$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.213554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4142…4fb0backed Angels43c114.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Angels44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Angels42c113.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6924350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db3…a936backed Angels44c113.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6a…2325backed Angels44c110.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed0…e5c0backed Angels43c107.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3099backed Angels43c106.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78e5…704ebacked Angels44c104.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ed…4133backed Angels44c103.3$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Angels44c101$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5615644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Guardians58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Angels55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.39550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x040e…c03dbacked Angels43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6093…ea92backed Guardians58c91.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e04…76babacked Guardians57c91.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Guardians48c91.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4667…3f38backed Guardians57c90.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a7…536cbacked Angels44c89.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7909…e6c0backed Guardians58c88.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a0…45fdbacked Guardians57c85.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a7…dd85backed Angels44c84.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b5…b16fbacked Guardians57c84.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x669f…f6cfbacked Guardians58c83.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb23…3fcabacked Guardians58c82.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff70…4563backed Guardians57c82.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Angels39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.817732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f38…3430backed Guardians58c79.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce6…e1b0backed Guardians58c77.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eed…1675backed Guardians58c71.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.33650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians57c69.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8941649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels68c68.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.814,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Angels38c66.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3938245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9026…bf0bbacked Guardians58c61.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a47…a16abacked Angels43c60.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.474568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Angels44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8294455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians57c56.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.112,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Angels72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5619849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Angels44c50.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0718951.3%97 W · 92 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Angels64c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2851953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Angels53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.178451.2%43 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Angels44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4549348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Angels57c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.86,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.