MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1f8fdd77291da41cb50d31edc8317bd6f9f9e5cd4ebd17f06f9dfd34d9b60d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7b3…92f8backed Twins | 60c | 166,655$99,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,662.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Athletics | 40c | 33,389$13,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,454.93 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Athletics | 40c | 32,360$12,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,944.06 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Athletics | 40c | 19,608$7,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,937.65 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 23c | 18,121$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Athletics | 40c | 16,994$6,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,797.57 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 40c | 16,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Athletics | 41c | 8,907$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 40c | 8,867$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Athletics | 40c | 8,260$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Athletics | 41c | 6,314$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.84 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Athletics | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 40c | 5,576$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.32 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Twins | 58c | 5,185$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Athletics | 41c | 5,112$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.92 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Twins | 55c | 4,772$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.4 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 35c | 4,729$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.17 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 26c | 4,112$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Athletics | 31c | 4,048$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 40c | 3,434$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.68 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Twins | 61c | 3,420$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.44 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Athletics | 2c | 3,415$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 40c | 3,397$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Athletics | 1c | 3,220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Athletics | 39c | 3,073$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.66 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 40c | 2,995$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.78 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…0dcebacked Twins | 60c | 2,472$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…6d6ebacked Athletics | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Athletics | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Twins | 75c | 1,774$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.01 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 1c | 1,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics | 2c | 1,430$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Twins | 60c | 1,342$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.93 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 5c | 1,304$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Athletics | 16c | 1,236$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.2 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Athletics | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 39c | 1,216$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.19 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Athletics | 6c | 1,029$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Twins | 60c | 1,004$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Athletics | 39c | 999.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 60c | 884$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics | 23c | 870.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Twins | 59c | 849.88$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.45 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Athletics | 48c | 801.83$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.88 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Athletics | 2c | 750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 3c | 713.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 59c | 670.82$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.24 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Athletics | 39c | 640.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 60c | 622.72$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Athletics | 40c | 605$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Athletics | 42c | 540.34$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Twins | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…89c4backed Athletics | 41c | 517.44$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…10d7backed Athletics | 40c | 505.78$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Twins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Twins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Athletics | 40c | 489.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Athletics | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 41c | 460$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Athletics | 4c | 444$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…dd21backed Athletics | 41c | 429.29$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Twins | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c805backed Athletics | 42c | 404.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…2af8backed Athletics | 40c | 403.2$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…b329backed Athletics | 41c | 388.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Twins | 60c | 384.79$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Athletics | 41c | 383.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…3f06backed Athletics | 41c | 372.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed Athletics | 11c | 372.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b1…0fb8backed Twins | 61c | 340.67$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 40c | 340.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…7ccebacked Twins | 61c | 339.38$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…27ebbacked Twins | 61c | 334.51$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Twins | 60c | 332.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.03 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 20c | 332.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f4…fd6fbacked Twins | 60c | 331.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Twins | 60c | 331.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec77…1660backed Athletics | 41c | 329.41$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Twins | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…072ebacked Twins | 60c | 321.07$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…9b0ebacked Twins | 61c | 319.15$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…4dbebacked Athletics | 41c | 318.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…4aedbacked Twins | 60c | 318.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…3738backed Twins | 61c | 313.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…62babacked Athletics | 41c | 311.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…82d1backed Twins | 60c | 304.53$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…c8b4backed Athletics | 41c | 300.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Twins | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Twins | 60c | 299.96$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 35c | 283.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38f…7e3bbacked Twins | 61c | 279.46$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Twins | 74c | 271.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Twins | 60c | 266.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 39c | 262.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.