MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae576622f86d375ca61844ad2d432d849b0c30dbdc3edb7cc920a699051bcb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Seattle Mariners, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $912,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $955,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $912,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 150,000$71,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,499.99 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 103,094$78,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,325.71 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 75,944$39,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,452.9 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 70,237$26,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,689.44 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 64,000$33,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,079.99 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 55,555$29,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,110.85 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 49,409$23,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,222.37 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 33,401$15,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,848.85 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 33,331$13,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,010.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 31,915$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 28,846$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,846.15 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 25,281$12,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,162.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 22,201$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,701.26 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 18,870$9,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,113.7 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 17,000$8,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,490 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 14,345$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,029.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 12,691$8,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,950.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 11,222$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.47 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 11,139$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.49 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…98c2backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 9,687$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746.82 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 8,950$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.82 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 8,799$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,746.91 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Detroit Tigers | 18c | 8,615$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,104.16 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 6,998$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.88 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…3f0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 6,792$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 6,680$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.56 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 6,000$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.36 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 5,708$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.06 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 4,348$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.74 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 25c | 3,874$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.32 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 3,646$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.46 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,607$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 3,300$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 3,171$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.67 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 3,126$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.11 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,054$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.79 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 2,999$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.49 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Detroit Tigers | 17c | 2,971$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.07 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,908$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.09 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 2,846$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 2,844$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.94 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 73c | 2,790$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 2,582$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.2 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 2,412$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.67 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 2,365$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.09 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 2,310$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.08 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 2,296$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.14 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 2,107$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,656$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.56 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,622$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.77 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 1,581$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.58 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,505$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.41 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.51 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 1,471$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.15 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,468$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.01 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,342$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.57 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,340$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,096$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,095$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.41 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 1,069$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.03 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,008$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.88 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,005$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.79 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,000$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.65 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 910.94$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.03 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 899.75$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.87 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 899.44$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.33 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 865.04$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.2 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 860.94$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.69 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…52b2backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 830$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 815.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 799.95$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.39 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 755.78$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.1 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 754.06$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.56 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 659.35$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.88 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 637.2$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.67 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Seattle Mariners | 2c | 634.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 634.13$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.45 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Detroit Tigers | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 613.37$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.1 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 569$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 547.88$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.06 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 533.88$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Detroit Tigers | 12c | 525$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 520$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 506$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.68 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.