TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c24,484$12,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,843.974,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c14,999$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.61,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over51c10,304$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,041.5944851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over50c8,609$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,304.5617248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c8,591$4,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037.841149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under50c2,834$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.043,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,474$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.795,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,400$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.996,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c2,379$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.531,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c2,091$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.778,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over50c1,856$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.4387453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c1,662$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.3712,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c1,318$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1211,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c1,045$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.61,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under48c793.37$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8255253.1%293 W · 259 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under49c786$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5989053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over25c772.55$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.687850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c726.94$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.894,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c491.73$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.118,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c480$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.22,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under49c431.35$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9565749.2%323 W · 334 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Under48c410$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.86552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over30c406.41$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7610,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over51c403.76$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8437052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under49c398.49$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5248150.7%244 W · 237 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under54c392.77$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.053,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c334.43$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.871,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c334.43$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.871,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over46c332$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4888153.7%473 W · 408 L+40.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0294734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dec…c92dbacked Over53c280.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.410459.6%62 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032266.5%214 W · 108 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over51c262.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.54,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under48c248.1$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0999947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under40c244.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5148343.3%209 W · 274 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over53c240$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141,92817.2%331 W · 1,597 L-320.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under52c232.66$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.981,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.822849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0645…0cc9backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under49c172.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2380255%441 W · 361 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c158$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.81,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Under49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under39c148.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.495,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over49c148.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.123,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over61c145.33$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.518,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c138.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.452,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over41c130.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.935,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over48c129$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5950748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under49c127.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6230048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under53c123.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6585949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under61c118$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.984,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c117.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3199744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8aa…a3c7backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711256.3%63 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c86.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under49c86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.566,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c83.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.342,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under62c72.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0190446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under68c72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9630340.6%123 W · 180 L-16.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under48c70.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3435643.5%155 W · 201 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Over53c68.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0514555.9%81 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2262554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under51c61.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1787552.7%461 W · 414 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.424749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over56c57.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.221,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6136…96cbbacked Over53c57.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.814153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c53.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.079,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under49c50.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.072,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.432,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Over51c49.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0516450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.786,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x083e…81a1backed Over52c48.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over50c46.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2538352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1952…dbf9backed Under51c38.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over44c37.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1980052%416 W · 384 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under49c37.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.142,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Over52c35.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1421549.8%107 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under51c33.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2410438.5%40 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under66c31.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125356.9%144 W · 109 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b7…fd93backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158241.5%34 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19141.8%38 W · 53 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over39c29.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2777353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Under49c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.218940.4%36 W · 53 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under50c28.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.352,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over50c27.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7659749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under49c25.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.666159.5%393 W · 268 L+3.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.557244.6%255 W · 317 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2aa…b2eebacked Under48c21.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-80.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.513252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under50c20.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4622151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.812753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Over56c19.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7121055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over67c17.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.872,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5894…c28ebacked Under72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84045%18 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a5f…6bb0backed Under77c14.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.