TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seattle Marinersof Detroit Tigers, Seattle Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,420 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners66c12,087$7,932 inWon+$4,154.6911,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Detroit Tigers35c5,108$1,787 inLost-$1,787.4523738%90 W · 147 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers35c5,046$1,787 inLost-$1,787.451,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers34c3,782$1,273 inLost-$1,273.074,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers29c1,350$395 inLost-$394.7712,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners65c1,000$650 inWon+$3505,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners68c610.57$412 inWon+$198.38,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Seattle Mariners65c600.58$390 inWon+$210.248150.7%244 W · 237 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners66c500$330 inWon+$1709,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners65c400$260 inWon+$1406,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners65c267$175 inWon+$92.372,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Detroit Tigers32c218.75$70 inLost-$703237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Detroit Tigers37c193$71 inLost-$71.4188153.7%473 W · 408 L+40.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Detroit Tigers32c191.03$61 inLost-$61.131,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners66c151$100 inWon+$51.341,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Seattle Mariners68c130$88 inWon+$41.61,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…9945backed Detroit Tigers31c110.68$34 inLost-$34.313036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Seattle Mariners65c100$65 inWon+$3599947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners65c91.22$59 inWon+$31.934,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Seattle Mariners68c74.99$51 inWon+$24.31,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Detroit Tigers33c74.44$25 inLost-$24.61,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Seattle Mariners69c63.78$44 inWon+$19.773,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Seattle Mariners65c60$39 inWon+$211,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Detroit Tigers36c51.19$18 inLost-$18.431,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Detroit Tigers32c49.28$16 inLost-$15.8259749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Seattle Mariners68c16.96$12 inWon+$5.4415349%75 W · 78 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Seattle Mariners67c15$10 inWon+$4.951,48163.5%940 W · 541 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Seattle Mariners70c14.54$10 inWon+$4.3694648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.