TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6136…96cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Stocks at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT4153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.17
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$29.08
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.09
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$52.48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.39
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$53.85
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.81
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$71.69
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$43.41
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.9
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.04
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.59
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.76
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.81
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.46
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+43%+$4.33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+42%+$5.74
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+201.7%+$35.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$10.34
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$35.82
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$13.71
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$16.1
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$8.65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$14.26
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.99
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or higher on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.27
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$28.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$249.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.