Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58078283e2356f9b9537b42e7479d7785b83bcd6f18002de8a2526c499eda837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,177,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,604,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,177,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 12c | 377,182$46,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,310.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 16c | 216,013$33,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,592.4 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…fa5fbacked Yes | 5c | 170,359$9,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,156.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 2c | 163,848$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.85 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 16c | 106,704$17,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,448.32 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 67c | 99,135$66,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,315.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…15c4backed No | 33c | 98,199$32,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,793.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…e915backed Yes | 2c | 78,970$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 75,077$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.23 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 74c | 66,631$49,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,144.46 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de7…89a4backed Yes | 0c | 65,693$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 1c | 64,169$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.72 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…e01bbacked Yes | 6c | 63,422$3,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 78c | 59,295$46,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,873.83 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 6c | 53,083$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.89 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9e…27b9backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…7b1fbacked No | 46c | 45,987$21,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,689.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 60c | 41,532$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,531.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 35,595$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 14c | 31,456$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.77 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 34c | 31,278$10,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,762.01 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 7c | 29,537$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.13 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…fc10backed Yes | 10c | 29,350$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 0c | 28,246$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed No | 79c | 27,836$22,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,722.12 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 4c | 26,000$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.99 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 1c | 25,472$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Yes | 4c | 25,089$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…deb6backed Yes | 4c | 24,695$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 68c | 24,142$16,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,490.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 69c | 24,065$16,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,523.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…8c4abacked No | 75c | 23,840$17,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 12c | 22,571$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.58 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 4c | 22,399$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.97 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…c6c1backed Yes | 48c | 22,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 21,451$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.61 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 10c | 20,825$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.1 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…56d0backed No | 56c | 19,442$10,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,459.81 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…da65backed Yes | 4c | 19,365$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…240bbacked Yes | 5c | 18,424$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 3c | 18,000$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.76 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39db…31bfbacked Yes | 55c | 17,626$9,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,696.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d84ebacked Yes | 11c | 16,455$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…5181backed Yes | 5c | 13,952$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae9…e1d0backed No | 41c | 13,447$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,968.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 9c | 13,209$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.82 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 43c | 13,029$5,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,565.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5106…2bacbacked No | 73c | 12,545$9,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 79c | 11,927$9,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.05 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 2c | 11,881$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.9 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 4c | 11,738$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.15 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Yes | 53c | 11,568$6,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,116.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 73c | 11,294$8,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.46 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…7fabbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 53c | 11,000$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,183.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 53c | 11,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.98 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 11c | 10,978$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.78 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 4c | 10,972$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.29 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…64e5backed Yes | 2c | 10,955$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 67c | 10,926$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.08 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 30c | 10,852$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.85 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3e26backed Yes | 4c | 10,292$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 51c | 9,884$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…34f9backed Yes | 7c | 9,721$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 53c | 9,399$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked No | 50c | 8,788$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.32 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed Yes | 10c | 8,515$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 6c | 8,429$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…1995backed Yes | 46c | 8,362$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…4ae0backed Yes | 31c | 8,179$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…fc32backed Yes | 50c | 8,016$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…bc55backed Yes | 51c | 7,648$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.58 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…9d5cbacked No | 45c | 7,562$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed No | 58c | 7,498$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 60c | 7,328$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.06 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 45c | 7,000$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 6,981$5,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.71 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 19c | 6,888$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.14 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed No | 42c | 6,775$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 58c | 6,672$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…202bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,632$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 31c | 6,580$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.42 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 6,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…ccffbacked Yes | 6c | 6,368$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 8c | 6,300$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.25 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,993$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 3c | 5,230$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.61 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9771…e3b9backed Yes | 4c | 5,147$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…49c1backed Yes | 2c | 5,146$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5d9ebacked Yes | 63c | 5,106$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed No | 53c | 5,091$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.01 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d3…6e63backed Yes | 1c | 4,964$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 45c | 4,960$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…0022backed Yes | 21c | 4,856$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf97…3c43backed Yes | 0c | 4,743$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…87e4backed Yes | 2c | 4,743$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…9fc6backed Yes | 2c | 4,738$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.