Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba748fe5b263077b102337ad026180a998a230996a8b108e6d0418b869e7529d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $778,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $798,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $778,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 31c | 140,869$44,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,079.25 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked No | 70c | 82,413$57,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,112.68 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 30c | 44,814$13,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,378.55 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 39c | 35,550$13,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,720.83 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…71d5backed Yes | 21c | 21,821$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…adb6backed Yes | 63c | 21,224$13,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,426.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…fffbbacked Yes | 16c | 12,756$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +110%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 64c | 8,785$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.33 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…76a5backed Yes | 46c | 8,059$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Yes | 46c | 8,000$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…163fbacked No | 69c | 6,430$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 72c | 6,266$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.69 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed No | 28c | 4,926$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Yes | 62c | 4,804$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…df45backed Yes | 11c | 4,271$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 55c | 4,170$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.49 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 40c | 3,715$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.08 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 57c | 3,412$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.92 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…83bcbacked No | 59c | 3,200$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 25c | 3,200$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.33 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…cc4ebacked No | 58c | 3,000$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed No | 52c | 2,590$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5106…2bacbacked No | 80c | 2,521$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 12c | 2,484$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 33c | 2,304$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…09c2backed Yes | 1c | 2,211$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…8b1dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,085$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 5c | 1,899$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…f1f6backed No | 77c | 1,888$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 61c | 1,643$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.51 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…372fbacked No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked No | 36c | 1,364$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.33 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 73c | 1,301$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,206$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,198$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.53 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed No | 57c | 1,044$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc284…ba60backed Yes | 27c | 1,035$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +322.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…861bbacked Yes | 6c | 967.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…feaabacked No | 69c | 914.83$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 9c | 907.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.02 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 35c | 900.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 45c | 839.98$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 43c | 790$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…887ebacked Yes | 72c | 782.02$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…3e50backed Yes | 4c | 762.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed No | 8c | 723.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.85 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…230abacked Yes | 32c | 700.47$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.15 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 34c | 650.1$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…c807backed Yes | 11c | 621.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked No | 7c | 620.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.76 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…fa0ebacked No | 33c | 599.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…4516backed No | 35c | 575.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked No | 37c | 552.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.91 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…1764backed Yes | 18c | 547.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 50c | 506.55$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 2c | 505.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…70b3backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…56a3backed No | 43c | 500$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…7c15backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 24c | 499.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 35c | 490$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 80c | 489.19$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…c1b8backed Yes | 25c | 479.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…4f81backed No | 76c | 465.47$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…b127backed Yes | 25c | 443.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6915…9a47backed Yes | 6c | 442.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…e897backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked No | 28c | 431.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.28 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 7c | 428.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…2651backed No | 5c | 416.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…82f9backed No | 80c | 413$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 18c | 412.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 400.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.67 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked No | 11c | 400$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +417.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 49c | 400$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…d60fbacked Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…3f72backed Yes | 28c | 369.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…3621backed Yes | 12c | 366.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc823…a910backed No | 68c | 363.08$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 18c | 352.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 55c | 351.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e4…5aeabacked Yes | 14c | 344.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…329abacked Yes | 34c | 336.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0683…dbf3backed No | 21c | 331.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…311ebacked No | 63c | 330.7$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed No | 37c | 328.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…d84cbacked Yes | 12c | 321.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed No | 62c | 321.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked No | 63c | 307.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfff…d1f4backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…06babacked Yes | 41c | 298.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed No | 60c | 291.54$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…3c34backed No | 69c | 289.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed No | 72c | 285.04$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 46c | 280.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.