Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f61a39a39d5be042ae73f2b814e525789edb29c9a7b012fc6733f87192ce4b2

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,856,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,005,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,856,688 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xda6b…a403backed Yes	3c	122,460$3,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,185.86	62	0%0 W · 62 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2376…e94fbacked Yes	2c	70,493$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.43	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes	2c	48,604$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135.79	638	35.4%226 W · 412 L	+18.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c1…f6bebacked Yes	3c	40,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes	1c	37,696$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.39	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…25a8backed Yes	1c	33,073$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.26	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes	3c	30,397$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.88	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9e…27b9backed Yes	0c	28,874$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ab…c75ebacked Yes	3c	26,502$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes	2c	26,042$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.91	103	1.9%2 W · 101 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked Yes	2c	23,318$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.45	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes	0c	19,624$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	74	0%0 W · 74 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206a…c01bbacked Yes	2c	18,536$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	16,818$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.12	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-94.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes	3c	16,013$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.69	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aea…79c1backed Yes	4c	15,143$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.37	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes	2c	13,999$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.27	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf7…aeb3backed Yes	1c	13,334$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f21…50b0backed Yes	0c	13,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes	2c	11,869$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes	0c	11,650$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-90.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c68…7fabbacked Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	12	0%0 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88fc…900ebacked Yes	4c	11,000$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf63a…d769backed Yes	2c	10,423$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.08	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747c…bfb5backed Yes	3c	10,411$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.15	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d2c…465dbacked Yes	2c	9,932$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.7	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes	1c	9,888$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.86	133	3.8%5 W · 128 L	-10.2wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf77…202bbacked Yes	0c	9,779$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.45	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes	2c	9,141$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.14	101	5.9%6 W · 95 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+121.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb1…3cacbacked Yes	0c	8,833$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes	4c	7,716$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes	2c	6,675$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.7	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Yes	3c	6,358$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.74	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes	2c	5,954$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.83	104	3.8%4 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes	2c	5,673$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.81	99	4%4 W · 95 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42ed…2549backed Yes	1c	5,548$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de7…3c38backed Yes	1c	5,461$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6b…52b0backed Yes	3c	5,002$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.08	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed11…10bebacked Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b68…a125backed Yes	2c	4,985$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.68	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes	1c	4,895$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.42	148	3.4%5 W · 143 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…efe0backed Yes	4c	4,832$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.8	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d3…6e63backed Yes	2c	4,330$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.97	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes	3c	4,230$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.53	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes	1c	4,073$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x997c…251ebacked Yes	2c	3,491$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.92	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116b…0380backed Yes	3c	3,300$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.8	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd1…8af7backed Yes	1c	3,243$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-90.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	0c	3,040$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	416	3.1%13 W · 403 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf597…2370backed Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	27cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1de…f034backed Yes	3c	3,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	2,937$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	149	0.7%1 W · 148 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b2…c013backed Yes	3c	2,865$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.18	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…4594backed Yes	5c	2,707$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.21	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3164…02babacked Yes	3c	2,674$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e01…a4babacked Yes	3c	2,640$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	26	0%0 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes	4c	2,639$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.88	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x808e…8bd8backed Yes	5c	2,593$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…1131backed Yes	1c	2,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+147.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes	4c	2,478$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes	2c	2,273$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes	3c	2,227$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.74	878	28.4%249 W · 629 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc493…b07dbacked Yes	4c	2,224$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+114.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x944f…28dabacked Yes	4c	2,196$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.55	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	+139.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8d…299cbacked Yes	3c	2,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.85	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf403…ec58backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x202b…7ed7backed Yes	3c	1,841$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e4…3267backed Yes	1c	1,820$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe24…bc05backed Yes	3c	1,749$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.13	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1087…013bbacked Yes	2c	1,729$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.04	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4345…d1efbacked Yes	1c	1,636$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	1,630$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.25	281	13.2%37 W · 244 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x518c…8d39backed Yes	2c	1,573$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	3c	1,444$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.01	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x830c…ca89backed Yes	2c	1,429$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5342…d243backed Yes	5c	1,426$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.88	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca7…f82abacked Yes	3c	1,403$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb644…2925backed Yes	3c	1,356$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5b…84e8backed Yes	2c	1,233$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23d8…56c4backed Yes	4c	1,194$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.67	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…743fbacked Yes	2c	1,184$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	3cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes	3c	1,106$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	143	37.1%53 W · 90 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcee…4531backed Yes	3c	1,037$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.12	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	2c	1,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	151	9.9%15 W · 136 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe39b…67e6backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	98	5.1%5 W · 93 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…a4babacked Yes	4c	999.96$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa605…09b3backed Yes	3c	931.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94fe…ad58backed Yes	2c	909.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7818…3bddbacked Yes	2c	900$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9140…cf5ebacked Yes	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x658b…01b8backed Yes	2c	770.87$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.73	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdcc…0395backed Yes	3c	769.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe51a…eaf2backed Yes	2c	765.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4429…4c58backed Yes	3c	725.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed9…a655backed Yes	2c	721.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb6…ebaebacked Yes	3c	714.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2771…df92backed Yes	3c	714.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01bc…0988backed Yes	2c	700.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes	3c	674.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.88	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event