Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4998a7c5897df3b9dd879cec4f62ca776cd608eacd271ffb375a84f20f4f3d9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,397,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,520,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,397,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 2c | 185,309$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.52 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 2c | 49,996$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.92 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 2c | 49,922$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Yes | 0c | 42,599$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 1c | 39,788$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72f…0f87backed Yes | 1c | 30,655$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422e…8a52backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…ab69backed Yes | 1c | 18,837$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.53 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 3c | 16,769$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.85 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…cb23backed Yes | 1c | 14,672$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 1c | 14,297$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…4381backed Yes | 1c | 13,622$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 2c | 13,192$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 12,241$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…7fabbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 1c | 10,997$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes | 2c | 10,641$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…f0e0backed Yes | 3c | 10,127$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Yes | 2c | 8,624$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 1c | 8,045$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…5732backed Yes | 2c | 7,031$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…fa5dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,634$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…f0c3backed Yes | 2c | 6,020$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 6,002$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…ea05backed Yes | 2c | 5,646$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…3335backed Yes | 1c | 5,582$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,087$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,009$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…7e20backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd4…fe7bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…02babacked Yes | 2c | 4,720$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Yes | 2c | 4,400$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,213$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…0863backed Yes | 2c | 4,089$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef9…71cfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecd…192cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,956$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…dd8fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,787$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 1c | 3,722$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 1c | 3,487$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,487$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…d658backed Yes | 2c | 3,226$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfff…d1f4backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093c…f3d5backed Yes | 2c | 2,941$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,756$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…e27cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3338…6ec2backed Yes | 2c | 2,469$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 2c | 2,393$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…0eb3backed Yes | 2c | 2,353$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 2c | 2,209$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c999backed Yes | 2c | 2,148$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…97cabacked Yes | 2c | 2,125$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…3ff9backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…99dabacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…5d9bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,993$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…b996backed Yes | 2c | 1,975$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 2c | 1,965$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…bb54backed Yes | 2c | 1,875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e886backed Yes | 1c | 1,867$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…a7b9backed Yes | 2c | 1,781$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…3cc4backed Yes | 1c | 1,780$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 1,647$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…2765backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 2c | 1,507$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,194$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f77…8eb1backed Yes | 1c | 1,154$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…df34backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…65febacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…1131backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…cab0backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed Yes | 2c | 977.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…aeb3backed Yes | 1c | 976.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Yes | 2c | 970.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868e…5392backed Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138f…6b9ebacked Yes | 2c | 850.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d5…b66cbacked Yes | 3c | 848.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 1c | 822$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9c…97a4backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…d489backed Yes | 2c | 771.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…bd3bbacked Yes | 3c | 700$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 2c | 688$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…f18cbacked Yes | 2c | 665.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 2c | 600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…e853backed Yes | 2c | 449.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c63…56e7backed Yes | 3c | 326$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.