Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde5ed16b575a0b1d100126266232653f1ba8e5709a4dd79b361491026f6cf65c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,154,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,969,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,154,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2424…3b61backed Yes | 7c | 289,445$19,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,907.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 4c | 132,954$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.47 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 4c | 126,553$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,464.89 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 5c | 103,708$5,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,285.55 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 5c | 91,389$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.23 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Yes | 3c | 56,457$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Yes | 6c | 55,148$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 4c | 41,937$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.57 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 12c | 33,839$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.89 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Yes | 11c | 32,708$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 30,910$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 7c | 29,482$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.52 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 4c | 23,700$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…31fdbacked Yes | 2c | 23,659$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 9c | 23,325$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.33 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 21,881$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.05 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fb58backed Yes | 8c | 21,844$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Yes | 6c | 21,050$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 8c | 20,574$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.67 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 5c | 19,381$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.94 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…9f3abacked Yes | 3c | 19,059$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…9cffbacked Yes | 5c | 18,546$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 18,012$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.61 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…ab69backed Yes | 4c | 16,301$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.06 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Yes | 10c | 16,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 3c | 15,974$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.84 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 15,921$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.7 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Yes | 3c | 13,210$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 5c | 12,944$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 11,500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…2505backed Yes | 3c | 11,140$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a42…56e6backed Yes | 2c | 10,526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…2a87backed Yes | 5c | 10,286$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 4c | 10,086$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…37ccbacked Yes | 12c | 10,033$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…d79bbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…c6babacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…65c8backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…c0f5backed Yes | 5c | 9,564$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed Yes | 5c | 9,560$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.63 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…888abacked Yes | 2c | 9,344$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 4c | 9,162$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.77 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 8c | 8,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf951…afdbbacked Yes | 6c | 8,645$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9e…27b9backed Yes | 2c | 8,549$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 3c | 8,498$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Yes | 4c | 8,474$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.29 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 3c | 8,401$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 4c | 8,317$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…3335backed Yes | 2c | 7,587$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 2c | 7,257$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 7c | 7,169$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 13c | 7,081$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 12c | 7,017$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 2c | 7,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed Yes | 8c | 7,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 8c | 6,753$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.85 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 6c | 6,648$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.61 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc917…c359backed Yes | 12c | 6,496$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…0791backed Yes | 12c | 6,392$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…769dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…2759backed Yes | 4c | 6,070$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 6c | 6,033$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…7a4dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,975$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 10c | 5,781$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.72 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 5c | 5,555$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.3 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed Yes | 5c | 5,524$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 7c | 5,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 1c | 5,459$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 2c | 5,383$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…c163backed Yes | 2c | 4,652$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 1c | 4,340$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 5c | 4,332$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.72 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…a82fbacked Yes | 7c | 4,151$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.53 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9da…f17abacked Yes | 7c | 3,916$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…5343backed Yes | 8c | 3,896$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 6c | 3,759$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +346.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…a266backed Yes | 11c | 3,736$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 2c | 3,607$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 1c | 3,603$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +599.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc643…62a9backed Yes | 7c | 3,145$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes | 4c | 3,112$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…cd56backed Yes | 5c | 3,101$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,096$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d3…6e63backed Yes | 1c | 3,079$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…738cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,032$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 3,023$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,010$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…3ff9backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e01…a4babacked Yes | 3c | 2,999$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 12c | 2,938$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.36 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,918$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 9c | 2,735$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.1 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,575$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…f0c3backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.