Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2de954c6acc43b5b6382dfe453c4e2e00dc9c2c8e9caf2a5752039d3c218f231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,088,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,122,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,088,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,047 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf17a…7b1fbacked No | 41c | 105,916$43,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,469.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 60c | 99,501$59,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,952.3 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Yes | 48c | 55,011$26,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,743.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 61c | 53,409$32,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,850.11 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cf…f374backed No | 22c | 42,749$9,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,344.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked No | 33c | 41,452$13,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,667.31 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5947backed No | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,599.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1f80backed No | 58c | 36,785$21,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,422.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b5…bef4backed Yes | 63c | 24,263$15,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,080.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Yes | 64c | 22,140$14,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,039.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed Yes | 45c | 22,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…c18bbacked No | 41c | 20,399$8,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,464.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 60c | 18,997$11,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,537.92 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…76b8backed Yes | 60c | 18,500$11,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,396.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…215bbacked Yes | 56c | 17,993$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,993.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Yes | 51c | 17,920$9,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,829.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 48c | 17,437$8,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,995.74 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…c6c1backed Yes | 40c | 14,369$5,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,631.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 12,480$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.26 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 58c | 11,215$6,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.92 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 47c | 10,584$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.53 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…372fbacked No | 36c | 9,624$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 52c | 9,369$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 37c | 8,931$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.46 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 57c | 8,850$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked No | 36c | 8,577$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 60c | 8,291$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.65 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…6767backed Yes | 43c | 8,024$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 41c | 8,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…4883backed No | 62c | 7,998$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…108dbacked Yes | 64c | 7,810$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed No | 38c | 7,717$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 45c | 7,700$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…ec07backed Yes | 38c | 7,137$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd89…353bbacked No | 51c | 7,094$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 64c | 6,935$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.73 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3d…17a7backed Yes | 44c | 6,584$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 49c | 6,484$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.15 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 47c | 6,388$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.29 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 58c | 6,275$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked Yes | 80c | 6,188$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 48c | 6,152$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.39 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Yes | 39c | 6,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.97 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 56c | 5,947$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.34 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 20c | 5,803$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.93 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…b5bfbacked No | 1c | 5,774$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed No | 46c | 5,698$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.17 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…25b9backed No | 53c | 5,607$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…e53fbacked Yes | 46c | 5,394$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…791cbacked No | 55c | 5,322$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…f13ebacked No | 43c | 5,114$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…65c8backed Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 69c | 4,982$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.6 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5106…2bacbacked No | 49c | 4,899$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Yes | 54c | 4,644$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…ee7fbacked Yes | 42c | 4,524$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 48c | 4,500$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…0022backed No | 21c | 4,473$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Yes | 69c | 4,411$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 56c | 4,360$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 66c | 4,198$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.71 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 60c | 4,191$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 40c | 4,048$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.44 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 4,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…08f8backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.95 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 65c | 4,000$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.97 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed No | 40c | 3,921$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 43c | 3,843$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 57c | 3,827$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.9 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…50aebacked No | 42c | 3,794$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…3f0bbacked Yes | 43c | 3,777$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…1995backed Yes | 48c | 3,716$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 46c | 3,623$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.3 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 44c | 3,309$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.43 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…c700backed Yes | 53c | 3,248$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 39c | 3,230$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.23 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…e2b9backed Yes | 56c | 3,132$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 12c | 3,009$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.54 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…93fbbacked Yes | 35c | 2,860$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…bfd9backed No | 43c | 2,845$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed No | 55c | 2,781$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…e39fbacked No | 42c | 2,698$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Yes | 56c | 2,688$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 49c | 2,649$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.08 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 12c | 2,631$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,618$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…7a4dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,569$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed No | 42c | 2,441$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No | 24c | 2,376$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.86 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…2f35backed No | 55c | 2,356$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…491bbacked No | 24c | 2,302$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 13c | 2,301$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…639ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,270$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.