Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd72eb4440b11191d981c1ca0e4d363f42c84313067b3a29db721c6780218c2bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,408,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,501,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,408,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 2c | 213,813$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,691.08 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Yes | 2c | 77,438$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 6c | 62,328$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.68 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 2c | 54,414$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 3c | 53,219$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 44,253$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 5c | 35,999$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.44 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…2505backed Yes | 3c | 34,878$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Yes | 5c | 32,000$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 25,057$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.19 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 0c | 22,962$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Yes | 4c | 22,660$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.1 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d84ebacked Yes | 1c | 21,061$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422e…8a52backed Yes | 0c | 20,333$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf951…afdbbacked Yes | 2c | 19,436$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…31fdbacked Yes | 1c | 17,308$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…5696backed Yes | 1c | 15,501$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…65c8backed Yes | 2c | 14,364$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…3b61backed Yes | 4c | 13,711$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 4c | 12,432$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.1 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 1c | 11,342$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.31 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…7fabbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Yes | 4c | 10,846$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 10,757$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.09 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fb58backed Yes | 2c | 9,766$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…7a4dbacked Yes | 4c | 9,612$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9c…97a4backed Yes | 2c | 9,303$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.23 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…9861backed Yes | 6c | 9,300$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Yes | 3c | 9,294$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 4c | 8,776$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.95 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…cb23backed Yes | 2c | 8,761$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…3335backed Yes | 1c | 8,649$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…85debacked Yes | 6c | 8,545$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 3c | 8,282$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.59 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…c23fbacked Yes | 7c | 8,241$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…4c49backed Yes | 4c | 8,059$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 1c | 7,298$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 1c | 7,218$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…c6babacked Yes | 3c | 7,201$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 3c | 7,118$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.26 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,747$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…0eb3backed Yes | 3c | 6,708$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,530$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.34 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…35ebbacked Yes | 3c | 6,299$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 5c | 6,240$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.53 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 4c | 6,112$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 3c | 6,085$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.28 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 4c | 5,991$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…64e5backed Yes | 1c | 5,930$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc917…c359backed Yes | 7c | 5,851$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 5c | 5,776$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…aeb3backed Yes | 2c | 5,772$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…c0f5backed Yes | 2c | 5,238$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 5,184$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.07 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Yes | 3c | 5,114$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…20d7backed Yes | 4c | 4,863$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 8c | 4,600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…5ea7backed Yes | 4c | 4,405$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…b996backed Yes | 2c | 4,383$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…d97ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,380$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes | 4c | 4,354$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.74 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 3c | 4,154$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Yes | 7c | 4,029$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,004$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…bf14backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 2c | 3,980$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…2759backed Yes | 3c | 3,960$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,896$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 3c | 3,600$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 1c | 3,563$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…d46bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…d658backed Yes | 5c | 3,498$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…f0c3backed Yes | 4c | 3,433$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,375$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 3c | 3,150$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…ec07backed Yes | 3c | 3,030$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…bb7ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…738cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…cc11backed Yes | 4c | 2,884$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,857$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…97cabacked Yes | 7c | 2,843$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,791$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…3ff9backed Yes | 2c | 2,769$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…30a7backed Yes | 2c | 2,699$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 7c | 2,654$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…3e50backed Yes | 6c | 2,441$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfff…d1f4backed Yes | 4c | 2,409$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…283fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,222$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…767bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,202$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…d058backed Yes | 2c | 2,172$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,163$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…dd8fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,104$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…bc05backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.