Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40e923d788caaed2066daac648f76bbf8dbf04177e248724b4103467ae66d2ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,300,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,239,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,300,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 4c | 190,450$8,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,502.95 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 1c | 160,861$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.08 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 7c | 75,630$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,507.08 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 3c | 72,138$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.31 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 68,065$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.8 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9e…27b9backed Yes | 0c | 57,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…0903backed Yes | 1c | 55,313$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 37,462$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 7c | 20,678$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.29 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 1c | 20,554$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.17 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 4c | 20,131$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.91 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 17,601$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ef…c56abacked Yes | 6c | 16,722$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 3c | 16,536$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.15 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…791cbacked Yes | 5c | 13,695$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 6c | 12,946$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.47 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…2370backed Yes | 8c | 11,875$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…7fabbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 10,878$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…aeb3backed Yes | 1c | 9,844$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 4c | 9,636$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.7 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 1c | 9,100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 4c | 9,083$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.91 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 2c | 9,052$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 1c | 8,689$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 3c | 8,102$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.19 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 6c | 8,007$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…c23fbacked Yes | 7c | 7,661$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 7c | 6,909$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.27 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…202bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,333$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,034$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 6,000$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 8c | 5,575$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.03 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 7c | 5,513$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.07 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 5c | 5,082$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.25 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes | 4c | 4,732$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,629$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…b08fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,588$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 6c | 4,534$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.22 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…64e5backed Yes | 0c | 4,085$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…c80dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,057$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 7c | 3,839$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,513$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 7c | 3,276$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.65 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…0863backed Yes | 8c | 3,228$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.95 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 3,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 6c | 3,086$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…e581backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da5…90c9backed Yes | 8c | 2,907$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…2ea5backed Yes | 3c | 2,854$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,783$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,654$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 6c | 2,441$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…540cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…f0e0backed Yes | 8c | 2,209$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e4…3267backed Yes | 1c | 2,167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,149$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 1c | 2,116$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,100$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…79c1backed Yes | 9c | 2,069$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 2,069$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa4…d1aebacked Yes | 6c | 2,066$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a48…a7e6backed Yes | 6c | 2,037$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 8c | 2,029$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 6c | 2,002$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca55…efebbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.29 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…465dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…1b30backed Yes | 7c | 1,876$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 2c | 1,781$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…9c71backed Yes | 4c | 1,688$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 11c | 1,647$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…7d66backed Yes | 9c | 1,571$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…4f16backed Yes | 5c | 1,516$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…b366backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…c013backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116b…0380backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…711bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,492$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 5c | 1,480$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e01…a4babacked Yes | 4c | 1,467$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 6c | 1,459$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes | 7c | 1,431$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 6c | 1,365$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13a…a600backed Yes | 4c | 1,343$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d3…6e63backed Yes | 5c | 1,276$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…8ffebacked Yes | 5c | 1,276$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…26d6backed Yes | 4c | 1,203$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…6355backed Yes | 4c | 1,153$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…4531backed Yes | 7c | 1,116$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…c01bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…37d7backed Yes | 9c | 1,099$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…1ad9backed Yes | 6c | 1,083$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 7c | 1,007$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…d2c5backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…a4babacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.