Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d50ef99ade0a4869a579d5c4b8eb8ee3197eaa5286738dd344fde91c456c0dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 23c | 58,935$13,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,531.34 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed No | 72c | 28,522$20,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,986.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 28c | 8,658$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.07 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 19c | 8,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 66c | 7,476$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.26 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 76c | 6,522$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.11 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 6,033$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.23 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…84e5backed No | 52c | 5,800$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d17…f3adbacked No | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…6e71backed Yes | 12c | 3,983$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 23c | 3,604$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.88 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…1e55backed Yes | 3c | 3,542$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…76a5backed Yes | 29c | 3,138$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…1764backed Yes | 10c | 2,075$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…64babacked No | 78c | 1,595$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.69 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…f1f6backed No | 74c | 1,273$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…e3cabacked No | 72c | 1,206$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325b…4466backed No | 65c | 1,177$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Yes | 42c | 1,168$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8af1…3ddabacked Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…c46cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,071$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Yes | 24c | 1,062$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,010$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…8b1dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,002$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…08cebacked Yes | 10c | 906.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed No | 64c | 872.6$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…e223backed Yes | 29c | 820.4$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 8c | 797.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 26c | 766.15$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…b901backed No | 62c | 740.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 56c | 736.65$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.47 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 58c | 699.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…b689backed No | 78c | 693.73$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed No | 74c | 601.25$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…52c2backed No | 76c | 550.08$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed No | 70c | 502.52$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 40c | 500.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 65c | 473.56$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…bc8dbacked No | 64c | 425.02$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 26c | 416.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 7c | 392.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Yes | 3c | 388.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…e56dbacked Yes | 24c | 380.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 39c | 378.49$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed Yes | 24c | 370.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…33b2backed Yes | 36c | 357.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 8c | 340.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…4847backed Yes | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…5e26backed Yes | 29c | 309.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…44b9backed Yes | 37c | 299.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…861bbacked Yes | 5c | 285.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 39c | 281.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…0dcabacked Yes | 26c | 268.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked No | 62c | 257.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…9d6bbacked Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…ce67backed Yes | 22c | 238.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 77c | 208$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…64acbacked No | 69c | 207.35$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0db2backed Yes | 30c | 200.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…fba3backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…3e8dbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…27abbacked No | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc7…e5eebacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…40a1backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…e4ebbacked Yes | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…a539backed Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…1920backed No | 69c | 144.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc166…7c15backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4d7ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…ee79backed Yes | 25c | 132.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…7500backed No | 68c | 131.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…c807backed Yes | 42c | 131.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…c749backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…3f70backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…6cc3backed No | 79c | 125.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…7871backed No | 79c | 123.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d10…8413backed No | 79c | 123.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…6180backed No | 63c | 118.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…c209backed No | 80c | 115.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…4249backed No | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…dc4fbacked No | 58c | 104.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…47e4backed Yes | 49c | 102.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f3…d82cbacked No | 62c | 101.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…72d7backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.