TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe64f…6cc3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+498.8%+$498.8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$25
DR Congo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Japan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$27.39
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.63
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33%+$16.49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$65.59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.2%+$68.99
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+52.6%+$62
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.9%+$31.46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.54
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$12.3
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39.67
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$83.91
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+160%+$79.99
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.4%+$26.44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+106.9%+$53.44
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.1%+$26.14
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$28.28
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+141.5%+$28.29
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick73cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$8.11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$8.46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$7.92
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$14.74
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$23.33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.98
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$6.06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$5.35
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.79
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$44.65
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+40%+$19.99
Will Trump say "Eight wars" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+273.1%+$54.63
Will Trump say "Vicious" or "Brutal" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$84.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$44.63
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$25.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+32.4%+$15.57
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.