Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82033ffc908562008e86493dde6695b264bcbb2ac094995629a8e84d58a92940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $720,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 74c | 30,515$22,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,875.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Yes | 21c | 27,654$5,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,675.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,890$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 79c | 18,419$14,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.15 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 23c | 17,776$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.36 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 24c | 13,762$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.51 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 13,104$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.8 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 10c | 12,080$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.69 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 37c | 11,178$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191.13 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 74c | 10,580$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.6 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 32c | 10,190$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 6c | 9,916$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.69 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…641ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,940$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 79c | 8,633$6,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.6 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked No | 74c | 7,573$5,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.51 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…6952backed Yes | 21c | 6,553$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.82 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 57c | 6,060$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.43 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…d050backed Yes | 27c | 6,048$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.31 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 6,003$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 40c | 5,491$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.02 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…9106backed Yes | 24c | 5,453$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…9de4backed Yes | 19c | 5,237$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 18c | 5,178$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 23c | 5,070$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.64 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 22c | 5,019$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.99 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.99 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…693ebacked No | 79c | 4,995$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 18c | 4,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…5c9ebacked Yes | 18c | 4,479$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 21c | 4,197$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.69 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 77c | 4,053$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 75c | 4,044$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,857$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,748$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…b8dcbacked Yes | 11c | 3,626$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 25c | 3,586$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.07 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 75c | 3,251$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.97 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 18c | 3,241$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.96 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked No | 76c | 3,138$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d4…071ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,137$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 68c | 3,132$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.71 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 27c | 3,063$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,937$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.65 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…0e20backed Yes | 7c | 2,935$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…8dfcbacked Yes | 26c | 2,796$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4806…c329backed Yes | 8c | 2,748$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed Yes | 1c | 2,629$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…cd14backed Yes | 19c | 2,603$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 78c | 2,519$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 56c | 2,476$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.93 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 23c | 2,372$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.44 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 76c | 2,206$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.66 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 73c | 1,970$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…48dbbacked No | 77c | 1,961$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 30c | 1,905$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,800$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked No | 71c | 1,787$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.82 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…f90ebacked No | 48c | 1,710$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.59 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…99ffbacked Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 29c | 1,637$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.98 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 79c | 1,628$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.01 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 28c | 1,559$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.32 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 76c | 1,536$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.39 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 75c | 1,500$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…edd9backed Yes | 4c | 1,489$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…56ffbacked Yes | 25c | 1,422$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,350$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 22c | 1,300$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 23c | 1,298$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424a…04cebacked Yes | 3c | 1,236$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 80c | 1,200$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…248abacked Yes | 26c | 1,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 20c | 1,116$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 74c | 1,116$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.17 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…1402backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 26c | 1,089$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed Yes | 33c | 1,051$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…07dbbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…1df5backed Yes | 6c | 951$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked Yes | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed No | 41c | 827.73$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 21c | 808.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…84e5backed No | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 77c | 760$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.84 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 35c | 750.31$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.17 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 55c | 739.39$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.66 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 724.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 24c | 720$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d02…5e23backed Yes | 10c | 712.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 9c | 700$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 26c | 700$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…2945backed Yes | 43c | 690.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 23c | 674.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 9c | 668.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…2fd2backed No | 73c | 662.68$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…9901backed Yes | 58c | 652.48$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.