Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8af64c1b08f322ca7f66f3cfdbdfd50c0eae6fc88d2fcf29c30ceb62682421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,667,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,005,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,667,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 792 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 60c | 81,739$49,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,307.14 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 54c | 74,952$40,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,131.8 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 14c | 64,839$8,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,927.06 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 53c | 41,442$22,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,298.76 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 80c | 41,415$33,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,382.38 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Yes | 24c | 34,596$8,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,153.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 49c | 33,525$16,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,052.72 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 32c | 27,716$9,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,709.77 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 9c | 21,474$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.58 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 78c | 16,799$13,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 11c | 15,783$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.19 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 3c | 13,375$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.76 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 11c | 12,997$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.01 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 72c | 12,764$9,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.41 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 12,539$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.87 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…7d85backed Yes | 59c | 11,943$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 39c | 11,851$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.91 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 11c | 11,413$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.95 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…f4b4backed No | 75c | 10,232$7,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed No | 64c | 10,144$6,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…5635backed Yes | 29c | 9,822$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 7c | 8,451$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…28f8backed Yes | 48c | 8,336$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95e0…d772backed No | 80c | 8,315$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 30c | 8,071$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.94 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 45c | 6,793$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.63 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…c803backed No | 40c | 6,782$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 78c | 6,411$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.41 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed Yes | 40c | 6,400$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 67c | 6,119$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…5d52backed Yes | 58c | 6,064$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…6952backed Yes | 8c | 5,986$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked Yes | 44c | 5,751$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.61 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…d050backed Yes | 7c | 5,685$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 46c | 5,646$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.01 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 49c | 5,530$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 38c | 5,301$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 29c | 5,187$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 45c | 5,038$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.17 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 28c | 4,997$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.7 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 4,989$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 44c | 4,981$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.61 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 39c | 4,954$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.58 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 53c | 4,898$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.41 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 78c | 4,761$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,710$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.14 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 31c | 4,672$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.25 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…4f75backed No | 79c | 4,638$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 42c | 4,489$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.56 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…e868backed Yes | 9c | 4,444$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 77c | 4,243$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 53c | 4,167$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.28 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 50c | 4,155$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.31 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked No | 78c | 4,105$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.44 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed Yes | 30c | 4,083$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…c327backed Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 50c | 3,840$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.7 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…43eebacked Yes | 1c | 3,744$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 10c | 3,713$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.38 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 3,500$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.04 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e94…7f1ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,400$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 50c | 3,317$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.78 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 9c | 3,217$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.49 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 10c | 3,195$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.53 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…59f2backed No | 65c | 3,168$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 59c | 3,093$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.35 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 13c | 3,016$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.1 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…99ffbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.54 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 13c | 2,911$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 56c | 2,839$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.95 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,819$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.84 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked No | 44c | 2,816$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 30c | 2,788$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.2 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…421fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,742$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed No | 72c | 2,737$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed Yes | 15c | 2,730$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.2 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 47c | 2,647$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.32 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 8c | 2,643$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 25c | 2,585$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.1 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 2c | 2,576$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 11c | 2,551$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 14c | 2,524$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 74c | 2,505$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.8 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…1160backed Yes | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 50c | 2,497$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.26 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 62c | 2,414$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.59 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8281…3a34backed Yes | 17c | 2,403$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…3185backed No | 33c | 2,300$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No | 68c | 2,294$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 44c | 2,283$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.89 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,276$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.67 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd262…c312backed No | 79c | 2,265$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 36c | 2,264$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.81 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fb50backed Yes | 44c | 2,228$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.52 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed No | 53c | 2,227$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.19 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9a…ed29backed No | 54c | 2,198$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…62debacked Yes | 56c | 2,156$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…449dbacked No | 59c | 2,149$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.