TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe60f…f4b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Commodities, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 52 out of 100; worst Stocks at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricketlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Test Series Australia vs Bangladesh: Australia vs Bangladesh - Match goes to Day 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$70
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Scotlandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$840
Will Bangladesh win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.99
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,467.5
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$209.44
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 6 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$35.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,582Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$2,721.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$2,571.95
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$228.42
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.2
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of April 13 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.18
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of March 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$50.32
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $330 end of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$135 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 20 above $40?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of June 29 above $125?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.74
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $285 on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+541%+$540.16
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.28
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$930
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,580
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,430
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+183.8%+$7,771.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$70.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.