Commodities · resolved market
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb7160b3dd09ea1ec2bba1875256305ce08e63409bb65024c0d1b2f833ae1342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $812,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $895,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $812,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 1c | 52,342$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94db…a2aabacked Yes | 3c | 34,292$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…1b57backed Yes | 9c | 22,817$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 1c | 16,131$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…2031backed Yes | 6c | 15,854$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,900$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 3c | 11,637$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.25 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 11,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…6f40backed Yes | 1c | 9,500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…2cd8backed Yes | 3c | 9,091$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…8fd0backed Yes | 1c | 8,740$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…6c72backed Yes | 4c | 8,013$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…5e2abacked Yes | 2c | 7,350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 2c | 6,602$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…e931backed Yes | 4c | 5,320$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 5,221$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.97 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9a38backed Yes | 10c | 5,021$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,800$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38f…3f6ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,627$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…3bd1backed Yes | 0c | 4,567$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…db3fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,484$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…e538backed Yes | 1c | 4,192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 2c | 3,960$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…34b5backed Yes | 25c | 3,953$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Yes | 11c | 3,830$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.14 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…1e6bbacked Yes | 21c | 3,486$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…4978backed Yes | 2c | 3,234$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7017…a205backed Yes | 4c | 3,189$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…2ae2backed Yes | 1c | 3,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…0393backed No | 76c | 2,823$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed Yes | 4c | 2,602$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 2,566$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…0158backed Yes | 8c | 2,486$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…8c0ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,408$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,327$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 2,323$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…d598backed Yes | 10c | 2,220$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 2,198$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…994ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,104$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…11b2backed Yes | 7c | 2,071$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…0f3cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,053$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…917fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,899$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0a00backed Yes | 28c | 1,853$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,722$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0300…5436backed No | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 1c | 1,553$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 1,549$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…f317backed Yes | 3c | 1,534$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 78c | 1,508$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.26 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.44per pick | 18cpaid | +296.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…991bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c8…ec9ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,458$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,382$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…d806backed Yes | 11c | 1,343$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…8993backed Yes | 15c | 1,318$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…14ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,254$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…791bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…ef11backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…2fe1backed Yes | 3c | 1,227$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 1,183$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…fd27backed Yes | 2c | 1,178$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…00ccbacked Yes | 20c | 1,130$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 11c | 1,122$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 4c | 1,113$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…5fecbacked Yes | 3c | 1,102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…77c8backed Yes | 15c | 1,100$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…ea7abacked Yes | 7c | 1,092$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fa…31ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,071$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…5c61backed Yes | 2c | 1,044$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…450abacked Yes | 4c | 1,013$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…ad1cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…f4b4backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…1f5dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…a743backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…510cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 10c | 995.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…5404backed Yes | 2c | 975.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 914.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…5e15backed Yes | 26c | 904.66$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…3869backed Yes | 4c | 882.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…217bbacked Yes | 3c | 877.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…e385backed Yes | 9c | 802.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 802.02$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…db86backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 12c | 797.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…d883backed Yes | 28c | 797.03$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da2…f4d7backed Yes | 2c | 770.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…7f63backed Yes | 9c | 768.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…fe65backed Yes | 3c | 743.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked Yes | 10c | 738.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Yes | 14c | 721.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 718.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…a81abacked Yes | 6c | 715.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…57ffbacked Yes | 8c | 710.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…0c53backed Yes | 4c | 708.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.