Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a4d29cc8e7227543fd3bbe7b6b2313fac9cc3b2ae9bcace5f88bd17c990b67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 62c | 16,899$10,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,496.84 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 38c | 13,410$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,368.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed No | 42c | 4,467$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…7278backed Yes | 64c | 4,304$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…db5cbacked Yes | 58c | 4,268$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.61 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…932cbacked No | 33c | 4,153$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +137%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…463bbacked No | 48c | 4,069$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 46c | 3,280$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.18 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 77c | 2,013$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.7 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked No | 27c | 1,790$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.69 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 38c | 1,609$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 54c | 1,529$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.28 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked No | 67c | 1,468$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.93 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,464$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…f83bbacked No | 41c | 1,340$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 60c | 1,269$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.82 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 41c | 1,117$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.03 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…f187backed Yes | 68c | 1,066$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 6c | 1,049$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 1c | 956.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…da0ebacked Yes | 74c | 951.86$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 941.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 35c | 875.42$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 23c | 829.93$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 28c | 796.67$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.58 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed Yes | 66c | 792.87$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 62c | 721.84$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.57 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 25c | 704.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 70c | 699.52$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.35 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83e…ee22backed No | 45c | 691.28$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd9…18e7backed Yes | 63c | 630.15$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 40c | 602.85$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.48 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 67c | 600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 57c | 588.73$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.05 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 44c | 576.91$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.53 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 66c | 566.32$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.31 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…1331backed No | 49c | 561.48$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 46c | 522.57$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.89 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed Yes | 2c | 504.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed No | 40c | 504.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 60c | 500.87$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 5c | 474.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 46c | 457.55$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 55c | 455.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 51c | 453.21$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 66c | 453.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 32c | 449.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.79 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 52c | 444.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed Yes | 35c | 405.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…cf89backed Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…d668backed Yes | 19c | 389.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 387.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 40c | 381.8$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 380.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 31c | 378.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 64c | 367.55$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 44c | 367.52$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…2070backed Yes | 55c | 364.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…a7c1backed Yes | 64c | 348.11$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed No | 38c | 346.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 56c | 331.4$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…264fbacked No | 43c | 330$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…aa5ebacked Yes | 55c | 328.48$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…0671backed Yes | 57c | 326.68$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…1399backed Yes | 65c | 305.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 305$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked No | 44c | 303.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…5bc0backed Yes | 55c | 302.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…f90ebacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…3c75backed Yes | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659a…9568backed Yes | 46c | 295$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…7462backed Yes | 60c | 274.16$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.69 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33de…a7c6backed Yes | 73c | 273.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 43c | 269.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.37 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked No | 32c | 266.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 31cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf80e…2af8backed No | 57c | 248.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 64c | 245.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes | 18c | 222.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed No | 40c | 216.39$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 29c | 214.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 56c | 199.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 45c | 195$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 42c | 193.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 187.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 48c | 184.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked No | 40c | 176$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 38c | 172.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee4…6b43backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 40c | 168.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked No | 36c | 168.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…0244backed No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…6f46backed No | 53c | 155$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 154.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 52c | 150.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$42 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.