TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb9f…bef0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Commodities, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$4,052.92
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$171.29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$7,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,868.83
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$712.89
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$881.33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$38.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,106.78
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$361.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,714.26
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+262%+$579
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+196.2%+$313.91
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$19.83
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$14.95
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$173.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$504.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,837Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,384.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,235.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$64.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,767Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$2,733.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,602Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$1,001.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$81.11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$1,183.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,385.89
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34.88
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+46.4%+$15.85
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.88
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.01
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$226.18
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$90.58
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.3%+$110.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$5.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.