CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa66851c5405c7b1c2d33a0ef741d827316759ef12be51738e7e0f21b9b672624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 77c | 8,782$6,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.81 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 77c | 5,836$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.41 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 4,952$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.44 | 346 | 26.9%93 W · 253 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 3,095$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.85 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Keyd | 79c | 3,072$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.59 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cd…e192backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 2,902$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 2,755$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.07 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 1,440$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.02 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 1,381$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.18 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 1,329$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.96 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 1,129$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 1,038$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.32 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 1,003$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.71 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd | 72c | 919$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.56 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Keyd | 77c | 909.17$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.17 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 907.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keyd | 75c | 761.29$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.45 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Keyd | 75c | 610$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keyd | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 515$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 502.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 5c | 456.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Keyd | 77c | 450$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 402 | 55.2%222 W · 180 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 400.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keyd | 73c | 335.76$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 78c | 314.15$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 283.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd | 79c | 281.85$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed METANOIA WOLVES | 37c | 278.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 270$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 249.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Keyd | 69c | 206$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 201.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 62c | 186.84$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Keyd | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 148.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed Keyd | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…5d09backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 122.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 119$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 114.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 11c | 100.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…3518backed Keyd | 78c | 86.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Keyd | 76c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 79.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Keyd | 76c | 72.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Keyd | 79c | 70.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Keyd | 77c | 63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Keyd | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Keyd | 76c | 40.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Keyd | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Keyd | 77c | 35.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…39e0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd | 76c | 30.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 29.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…3239backed Keyd | 76c | 27.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed Keyd | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Keyd | 77c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Keyd | 76c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bf…07e5backed Keyd | 78c | 13.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.