CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82f03e8ecec323b2b01581918f95d1514afae3eb6d8e99b7dcc2ebf8374d0b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 70c | 874.4$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.99 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 30c | 444.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 70c | 312.88$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…57ecbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 29c | 227.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 72c | 179.74$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Keyd | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 93.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed METANOIA WOLVES | 29c | 91.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 74c | 82.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 77.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 73.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Keyd | 69c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.