TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x977c…57ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT3517.1%6 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.36
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Tricksters - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricksters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-Inbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: SAW vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: SAW vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winnerbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 1 Winnerbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$29.27
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$99.42
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Bbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.26
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs EC BANGA (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked EC BANGA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs FromPR - Map 2 Winnerbacked FromPR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.37
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winnerbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+265.1%+$66.29
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-75.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$109.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.